SUPER RUGBY WEEK 10
Highlanders v Stormers
The Highlanders comfortably beat the Sunwolves last week although didn't cover the line, whereas the Stormers found how tough the New Zealand sides are at home with a comprehensive belting 57-24 to the Crusaders.
The Stormers seem to be somewhat of a bogey team for the Highlanders with the South African side winning 5 of the last 6 games. The Highlanders did beat them in 2015 39-21 at home however.
The last two games between the two sides have averaged 58.5 points per game, prior to this the three games before hand had only averaged 28 points per game.
I think the Highlanders will win the it will be a close won, the Stormers will be better for the run they had against the Crusaders last week.
Chiefs v Sunwolves
The Chiefs had to fight hard for their victory against the Force last week, meanwhile the Sunwolves had a spirited second in losing to the Highlanders.
The Sunwolves have lost all games played away and I would be extremely surprised if they were to add a win to that statistic this weekend. The Chiefs on the other hand have won their last 5 home games and will be looking to get a bonus point win from this after their somewhat mediocre tour of South Africa and Perth.
The Chiefs might be a little tired from their tour of South Africa and I'd suggest they'll be resting a few players for this one.
Reds v Waratahs
The State of Origin for Rugby. This is a huge clash and both teams are desperate for the win if they want to even be in contention to play finals football this year. The Waratahs will be all guns blazing this week after a shock loss to the Southern Kings last week. They looked terrible and coach Daryl Gibson head is on the chopping block you'd think. The Reds had the week off and will be freshened going into this.
The Waratahs have a very good record against the Reds of recent, winning their last 6 games against their counterparts north of the border. Another surprising statistic is that from those last 6 games the Reds have only averaged 6 points against the Waratahs. The Waratahs have only won 2 of their last 7 away games.
I think the Waratahs will win this one, history suggest they have a good edge against the Reds.
Force v Lions
The Force continues fighting for their lives and they were brave in their loss to the Chiefs last week. Meanwhile the Lions have got their campaign firing on all cylinders winning the last 5 games. They hit the road this week and come up against the Force who have a favourable record against the Lions, winning their last 5 games against the South African side.
The last four games between the two sides has averaged a low 40.5 points per game
Cheetahs v Crusaders
The Crusaders continue their unbeaten streak this year and are the only team to be unbeaten. The Cheetahs lost by 6 points to the ever improving Bulls, thought the Cheetahs have now lost 5 in a row.
I'd expect the Crusaders to win this one, they've beaten the Cheetahs in 4 of their last 6 games (including the last 3), though their only 2 losses were at home to the Cheetahs.
The last two matches the Crusaders have played against the Cheetahs they've racked up more than 50 points, with those two games averaging 77 points.
Kings v Rebels
The Kings will be chuffed with their win against the Waratahs last week, breaking a 5 match losing streak. The Rebels would be almost equally as happy with a last minute penalty to salvage a draw against the Sharks last week.
These teams have played only once with the Kings beating the Rebels in Melbourne back in 2013 30-27. The Rebels are still in the hunt for a playoff spot due to the nature of the Australian conference but have a poor away record winning only 1 of their last 7 games, including 1 draw.
The Kings have been in a try scoring mood the last few weeks scoring 101 points in their last 3 games; however they've also conceded 117 in those games.
I think the Kings can win this one.
Jaguares v Sharks
The Jaguares season has hit a speed bump as they added another loss to their away record going down to the Lions by 3 points. Meanwhile the Sharks would be disappointed with their 9-9 draw to the Rebels last week.
The Sharks have won all three games they have played against the Jaguares which includes a 25-22 win in Argentina last year. All three games have been extremely close with the sharks winning by 5, 3 and 4 points respectively.
The three games played between these two sides have averaged a fairly low 37 points per game.
I think the Jaguares will win this one but not by a lot.
Brumbies v Blues
Potentially the game of the round and played on a Sunday afternoon, I think this competition needs more Sunday afternoon games to be honest.
he Brumbies have had a couple of rough games losing to the Rebels and Hurricanes on the trot, the Blues have had a week off and probably needed it after two tough losses to the Highlanders and Hurricanes.
The Blues have beaten the Brumbies 4 out of the last 6 games; including the last two. The last 4 matches between the two sides have averaged only 38 points per game, however the last match alone was 55 points.
The Brumbies have struggled against the NZ sides this year, they've conceded 51% of their points to NZ sides in 3 of the 8 games they've played this season.
RESULTS STAKES ROI Final +3 3 100% Semi Finals -0.77 6.5 -12% Quarter Finals +2.94 9 33% Week Seventeen -1.2 11 -11% Week Sixteen -3.3 9 -37% Week Fifteen +0.52 19.5 3% Week Fourteen -16 16 -100% Week Thirteen +3.81 13.5 28% Week Twelve +2.71 17.5 15% Week Eleven -2.9 11 -26% Week Ten -0.35 14 -3% Week Nine -5.52 13 -42% Week Eight +6.77 12 56% Week Seven +7.8 9 87% Week Six +15.46 13 119% Week Five +1.61 10 16% Week Four -2.24 8 -28% Week Three -10 10 -100% Week Two +4.9 8 61% Week One -4.15 13.5 -31% Futures +5.7 10 57% Total +8.79 226.5 4%