Super Rugby Final Preview


Hurricanes v Lions

The 2016 title will be decided by the Hurricanes and the Lions. Like last year we will have a new winner of the Super Rugby title.

Last week saw convincing wins from both these teams. The Hurricanes beating the Chiefs 25-9 while the Lions were dominant in beating the Highlanders 42-30.

Take a thought back three weeks ago, the Lions sent a second rate team to Argentina to try and get the sole point they needed to top the table. The Lions could have been hosting the final, that will be a huge talking point both before and after the game, for good or bad.

The Hurricanes have named the same side they named last week, once again captain Dane Coles is being bracketed to start, I would imagine the Hurricanes will wait till the eleventh hour to make a decision on this. Meanwhile, as of writing this article and Lions are yet to name their team but inspirational captain Warren Whiteley has travelled to New Zealand and is on course to play.

Weather for the match is predicted to be less than ideal, a high of 8 degrees with southeaster winds and occasional showers. A typical Wellington winter which should be an advantage to the home team.

The Lions lost four games this year, three of those being against NZ teams including a 50-17 thrashing against the Hurricanes back in May, arguably the Hurricanes best result this year.

The Hurricanes also lost four games this year, they in fact lost their first two games and their season was all but written off after round 2. They later lost two more against the Chiefs and Sharks, before now being on a seven game winning streak.

These two teams have played thirteen times, the Hurricanes winning twelve of these games, including all games played at home. The Lions are averaging 36 points per game this year while they concede on average 23.5 points per game. The Hurricanes average 31 points per game, while concede and average of only 19 points. In fact, the Hurricanes have not conceded a try for 211 minutes of rugby.

To me, this is the Hurricanes year. They are well aware of what losing feels like after last year’s final and will do anything not to experience that pain again. They have a fantastic squad and are playing as a team even more so this year. The wet and cold weather will put a literal dampener on the Lions attacking flair. I will be in the stands cheering the Hurricanes for the second year in a row, let’s hope for a different outcome.

OTP Recommendation

Hurricanes to win 13+3 at 2.92Bookie Image 1+5.76

OTP Recommendation

Hurricanes to win both halves Yes3 at 2.75Bookie Image 2+5.25

otp odds

Thanks to all who have followed this season, we flew out of the gates but unfortunately had no luck during the middle of the season and things have since come right for a small profit for the year.

    Final +11.01 6 184%
    Semi Finals +11.76 14 84%
    Quarter Finals +5.34 18 30%
    Week Seventeen -0.27 6 -5%
    Week Sixteen -9 9 -100%
    Week Fifteen -2.15 8 -27%
    Week Fourteen -1.85 8 -23%
    Week Thirteen -9 9 -100%
    Week Twelve -0.32 8 -4%
    Week Eleven +8.1 12 68%
    Week Ten -12 12 -100%
    Week Nine -10 10 -100%
    Week Eight -7 7 -100%
    Week Seven +11.32 10 113%
    Week Six -0.36 8 -5%
    Week Five +3.96 9 44%
    Week Four +5.65 11 51%
    Week Three +4.32 10 43%
    Week Two +7.36 7.75 95%
    Week One +2.8 8 35%
    Total +19.67 190.75 10%

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