NRL ROUND 11
Eels v Warriors
The cracks are starting to be hard to ignore at the Warriors following another heavy defeat, this time at the hands of the Roosters, as the nature of the loss took on a similar theme to their previous losses where they lacked any intensity which is an issue that’s plagued the club for most of the past decade.
The Eels will have taken note of how easily the Roosters took it to the Warriors up the middle and how the Warriors struggled to handle the physicality of their big men; it doesn’t take a rocket surgeon to figure out what approach the Eels will take as Brad Arthur will be demanding his big men bully the Warriors pack in similar fashion. With domination up front it will make life for the talented Eeels backline much easier and things could easily get ugly for the Warriors.
Even though their season is all but over the Eels are a very proud club and Brad Arthur a very good coach so there is absolutely no way they’ll throw in the towel and after a close loss to the Bulldogs last week will be absolutely fizzing to get on the field here and get a win in front of their home fans.
The bookies have the Eels as slight underdogs but they’ve been duped into believing the Warrior hype, it was only a very short time ago the NZ club couldn’t buy a win in Sydney and we’ll take the good value on the home side to win. Pick – 4 units on Eels to win
Broncos v Roosters
The Broncos will have reviewed footage of the dominant Roosters effort last week against the Warriors and will be expecting a similar approach from the Bondi-Boys here but unlike the Warriors the Broncos have a pack capable of returning fire.
I really don’t see much between these sides as the Broncos will be wanting to forget last week’s dreadful loss to the Sea Eagles in a hurry and will be much tougher here, they’ve got players eager to impress the Queensland selectors and are at home; on the other hand the Roosters look like they may be on the path to consistency and are coming off the back of arguably their best performance of the season.
Matches between these sides are always closely fought and I can’t see this being decided by more than a converted try either way. Pick – 2 units on either side to win by 6 points and under
Titans v Knights
The Titans were good last week against the Storm and if not for some crucial errors could have been pushing for a big upset and I’m expecting them to get the result here against a Knights side that is heavily reliant on Ponga for nearly all of their attack.
The Titans have the more impressive looking forward pack with decent size and power and they’ll take it to the Knights pack who will struggle to contain them which should give Taylor in the halves plenty of good ball to create opportunities with and they’re not short of excellent finishers in Gordon, Don and Copley out wide.
I’m surprised the bookies have got these two sides evenly priced as I have the Titans as favourites and they certainly should get the job done at home and off the back of last week’s solid effort. Pick - 4 units on Titans to win (BEST BET)
Cowboys v Rabbitohs
Sharks v Bulldogs
WEEK RESULTS STAKES ROI BEST BET Week Twenty-Two +6.11 16 38% LOST Week Twenty-One +10.12 11 92% WON Week Twenty -0.6 14 -4% LOST Week Nineteen +9.02 15 60% WON Week Eighteen -6.32 13 -49% LOST SOO 3 +5.25 4 130% N/A Week Seventeen -7 7 -100% LOST Week Sixteen -1.7 11 -15% LOST Week Fifteen -3.87 17 -23% LOST Week Fourteen +3.44 10 34% WON SOO 1 +3.64 4 91% N/A Week Thirteen -7 7 -100% LOST Week Twelve +6.34 13 49% WON Week Eleven +1.24 15 8% WON Week Ten +3.96 12 33% WON Week Nine +9.67 10 97% WON Week Eight -1.09 13 8% LOST Week Seven +18.27 15 123% WON Week Six -3.51 15 -23% LOST Week Five -3.3 15 -22% LOST Week Four +3.6 11 33% N/A Week Three -7 7 -100% LOST Week Two -4.5 12 -38% LOST Week One -5.27 11 -48% LOST Total +29.5 294 10% 38%