Round Eleven NRL Picks


Eels v Warriors

The cracks are starting to be hard to ignore at the Warriors following another heavy defeat, this time at the hands of the Roosters, as the nature of the loss took on a similar theme to their previous losses where they lacked any intensity which is an issue that’s plagued the club for most of the past decade.

The Eels will have taken note of how easily the Roosters took it to the Warriors up the middle and how the Warriors struggled to handle the physicality of their big men; it doesn’t take a rocket surgeon to figure out what approach the Eels will take as Brad Arthur will be demanding his big men bully the Warriors pack in similar fashion. With domination up front it will make life for the talented Eeels backline much easier and things could easily get ugly for the Warriors.

Even though their season is all but over the Eels are a very proud club and Brad Arthur a very good coach so there is absolutely no way they’ll throw in the towel and after a close loss to the Bulldogs last week will be absolutely fizzing to get on the field here and get a win in front of their home fans.

The bookies have the Eels as slight underdogs but they’ve been duped into believing the Warrior hype, it was only a very short time ago the NZ club couldn’t buy a win in Sydney and we’ll take the good value on the home side to win. Pick – 4 units on Eels to win

OTP Recommendation

Eels to win4 at 1.92Bookie Image 1-4

otp odds

Broncos v Roosters

The Broncos will have reviewed footage of the dominant Roosters effort last week against the Warriors and will be expecting a similar approach from the Bondi-Boys here but unlike the Warriors the Broncos have a pack capable of returning fire.

I really don’t see much between these sides as the Broncos will be wanting to forget last week’s dreadful loss to the Sea Eagles in a hurry and will be much tougher here, they’ve got players eager to impress the Queensland selectors and are at home; on the other hand the Roosters look like they may be on the path to consistency and are coming off the back of arguably their best performance of the season.

Matches between these sides are always closely fought and I can’t see this being decided by more than a converted try either way. Pick – 2 units on either side to win by 6 points and under

OTP Recommendation

Either Team Under 6.52 at 2.80Bookie Image 2+3.6

otp odds

Titans v Knights

The Titans were good last week against the Storm and if not for some crucial errors could have been pushing for a big upset and I’m expecting them to get the result here against a Knights side that is heavily reliant on Ponga for nearly all of their attack.

The Titans have the more impressive looking forward pack with decent size and power and they’ll take it to the Knights pack who will struggle to contain them which should give Taylor in the halves plenty of good ball to create opportunities with and they’re not short of excellent finishers in Gordon, Don and Copley out wide.

I’m surprised the bookies have got these two sides evenly priced as I have the Titans as favourites and they certainly should get the job done at home and off the back of last week’s solid effort. Pick - 4 units on Titans to win (BEST BET)

OTP Recommendation

Titans to win4 at 1.91Bookie Image 3+3.64

otp odds

Cowboys v Rabbitohs

OTP Recommendation

Cowboys 1-122 at 3.50Bookie Image 4-2

Sharks v Bulldogs

OTP Recommendation

Sharks -6.03 at 1.95Bookie Image 5push

    Grand Final -6 6 -100% N/A
    Week Three Finals +6.44 7 92% WON
    Week Two Finals -7 7 -100% LOST
    Week One Finals +12.96 12 108% WON
    Week Twenty-Five -11.27 17 -66% LOST
    Week Twenty-Four +6.36 15 42% WON
    Week Twenty-Three +0.54 14 4% LOST
    Week Twenty-Two +6.11 16 38% LOST
    Week Twenty-One +10.12 11 92% WON
    Week Twenty -0.6 14 -4% LOST
    Week Nineteen +9.02 15 60% WON
    Week Eighteen -6.32 13 -49% LOST
    SOO 3 +5.25 4 130% N/A
    Week Seventeen -7 7 -100% LOST
    Week Sixteen -1.7 11 -15% LOST
    Week Fifteen -3.87 17 -23% LOST
    Week Fourteen +3.44 10 34% WON
    SOO 1 +3.64 4 91% N/A
    Week Thirteen -7 7 -100% LOST
    Week Twelve +6.34 13 49% WON
    Week Eleven +1.24 15 8% WON
    Week Ten +3.96 12 33% WON
    Week Nine +9.67 10 97% WON
    Week Eight -1.09 13 8% LOST
    Week Seven +18.27 15 123% WON
    Week Six -3.51 15 -23% LOST
    Week Five -3.3 15 -22% LOST
    Week Four +3.6 11 33% N/A
    Week Three -7 7 -100% LOST
    Week Two -4.5 12 -38% LOST
    Week One -5.27 11 -48% LOST
    Total +31.53 372 8% 40%

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