PGA Tour - The Greenbrier Classic - 4-7 July 2013
The Old White TPC Course, Sulphur Springs, West Virginia, USA
INTRODUCTION & HERITAGE
This tournament dates back only to 2010 and the winners have been: Stuart Appleby (2010), Scott Stallings (2011) & Ted Potter Jr (2012), the latter two in playoffs.
This is the course where Stuart Appleby shot his 59 and went 22-under for the event. For the Aussie faithful who believe in Lazarus, Stuart's in the field this week and paying 150/1 or so!
THE OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP IS CLOSE
Many players are now on their preparatory paths for The Open Championship on the 18th of July. Tiger is rehabilitating his elbow. Phil Mickelson, along with Bubba & Louis, is here at a course he doesn't like (missed the cut the past two years!) and will play the Scottish Open next week at Castle Stuart.
Others such as Mahan, Dustin & Zach Johnson, Scott, McIlroy, Rose, Garcia & Snedeker are taking the week off tournament play while Kuchar will tee it up in Paris with Donald, Kaymer, Poulter and company.
The course is a longish but relatively easy par 70 measuring 7270 yds, with bentgrass greens. Putting is a critical requirement here, allied with accurate wedge / approach play.
I'm looking this week for players that can go low and shoot the lights out for at least 3 days and who don't have travel to Europe on their immediate agenda. Just a theory of mine!
Traders should note that the two par 5's are both on the back nine.
Phil Mickelson, perhaps surprisingly though he is the class of the field, heads the betting at 15.00 from Webb Simpson at 17.00.
Then follow last week's winner Bill Haas & Bubba Watson at 19.00 or thereabouts.
Two up-and-comers in red hot form, Graham DeLaet & Billy Horschel, complete the list of those shorter than 30/1.
Among these players, Billy Horschel appeals most, by far. He's a birdie machine this year, ranking 2nd (to Mickelson) on tour in birdie percentage. If you like the shorter prices, which I don't, he appeals as the best winning chance among the faves.
My top selection is Scott Piercy. He also ranks high (21st) in birdie output and has good course form with a 12th & 16th among three visits here. His recent form has also been solid with 5th, 26th & 16th leading into his last start at the US Open where he missed the cut.
Refreshed after a few weeks off, he's capable of tearing this course to shreds. I rate him as short as 24.00 and in my estimation he thus represents huge each way value at 41.00 - 51.00 with the bookies.
My second each way selection is 23-y-o Morgan Hoffman, a WebCom Tour graduate recently finding his confidence on the big stage with a 9th at the Travelers two weeks ago then 8th at last week's AT&T National.
He can go low over a sustained stretch and represents each way value at 67.00 - 81.00 with the bookies, or as a Betfair trading proposition where he's available as I type at 110.00
My final each way selection is a favourite of mine - 23-y-o Luke Guthrie who followed a similar path to Hoffman onto the PGA Tour, albeit with superior winning credentials. He found a bit of success early with a pressure-relieving 3rd at the Honda Classic but his form drifted after an 8th in New Orleans.
However, he was a nice 21st last week after a break following the US Open and I expect him to improve further and contend this week on an easy track at a juicy 101.00 - 126.00 or, as for Hoffman, an exchange play; he's 150.00 on Betfair as I type.
Cheers and good luck with your golf betting!
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