NRL Betting Update

FROM TAB.COM.AU

MANLY THE TIPSTER’S WORST NIGHTMARE

MANLY is back into $3 with TAB to make the finals after causing two upsets in a row.

The Sea Eagles have been the most difficult team to predict this season, with them losing five out of seven matches they were favourite but winning two of three as the underdog.

“A fortnight ago Manly were well and truly in the wooden spoon conversation, and while they’re not out of the woods yet, it’s been a stunning turnaround to record back to back wins against Brisbane and Melbourne,” TAB’s Gerard Middleton said.

In other notable market movers;

- The Dragons are the $4.50 premiership favourites after the Melbourne Storm lost

- Parramatta are $2.75 outright favourite to have the most losses

- The Cowboys are now $3 to make the finals, their longest odds this season

A full list of the changes to TAB futures markets is attached.

NRL upsets since 2007
2007: 61/201 matches = 30% upsets
2008: 57/201 matches = 28% upsets
2009: 58/201 matches = 29% upsets
2010: 66/201 matches = 33% upsets
2011: 61/201 matches = 30% upsets
2012: 68/201 matches = 34% upsets
2013: 62/201 matches = 31% upsets
2014: 75/201 matches = 37% upsets
2015: 77/201 matches = 38% upsets
2016: 58/201 matches = 29% upsets
2017: 65/201 matches = 32% upsets
2018: 38/88 matches = 43% upsets
Overall: 746/2299 matches = 32% upsets

Matches won as the underdog
5: Warriors (5/6)
4: Brisbane (4/6), Wests Tigers (4/7), Cronulla (4/7), Newcastle (4/10)
3: Souths (3/5), Gold Coast (3/10), Bulldogs (3/11)
2: Manly (2/3), Penrith (2/3), Parramatta (2/7)
1: Roosters (1/2), Canberra (1/4)
0: Melbourne (0/1), North Queensland (0/3)

Matches lost as the favourite
5: Manly (5/7)
4: Parramatta (4/4), North Queensland (4/7), Canberra (4/7), Roosters (4/9), Melbourne (4/10)
3: Brisbane (3/5)
2: Wests Tigers (2/3), Warriors (2/5), Souths (2/6), Penrith (2/8), St George-Illawarra (2/10)
1:
0: Gold Coast (0/1), Cronulla (0/3)

Matches involving each side that have resulted in upsets
7: Warriors, Brisbane, Manly
6: Wests Tigers, Parramatta
5: Souths, Canberra, Roosters
4: Newcastle, Penrith, North Queensland, Cronulla, Melbourne
3: Gold Coast, Bulldogs
2: St George-Illawarra

back to top

must be 18 +