NRL Betting Update

FROM TAB.COM.AU

DRAGONS PREMIERSHIP FAVOURITES AFTER STORM DEFEAT

ST GEORGE-Illawarra are outright premiership favourites with TAB after their win over Melbourne Storm yesterday.

“The Dragons have proved yet again they are the team to beat this year after a dominant win over the reigning premiers Melbourne on Sunday,” TAB’s Kristen Fahd said.

“The Red V are $5 into $4.50 clear favourites to win the premiership and are $2.40 favourites to make the Grand Final.”

Round nine was the first round of the season where all the favourites won.

In other notable market movers;

- Gold Coast are $3.75 outright favourites to have the most losses

- Gareth Widdop and Kalyn Ponga are $6 equal favourites to win the Dally M

- Josh Addo-Carr is the $3 favourite to be the top tryscorer

NRL upsets since 2007
2007: 61/201 matches = 30% upsets
2008: 57/201 matches = 28% upsets
2009: 58/201 matches = 29% upsets
2010: 66/201 matches = 33% upsets
2011: 61/201 matches = 30% upsets
2012: 68/201 matches = 34% upsets
2013: 62/201 matches = 31% upsets
2014: 75/201 matches = 37% upsets
2015: 77/201 matches = 38% upsets
2016: 58/201 matches = 29% upsets
2017: 65/201 matches = 32% upsets
2018: 30/64 matches = 47% upsets
Overall: 738/2275 matches = 32% upsets

Matches won as the underdog
4: Warriors (4/5), Wests Tigers (4/6), Newcastle (4/8)
3: Brisbane (3/5), Cronulla (3/6), Gold Coast (3/9)
2: Penrith (2/3), Souths (2/4), Parramatta (2/7), Bulldogs (2/9)
1: Canberra (1/3)
0: Melbourne (0/1), Manly (0/1), Roosters (0/1), North Queensland (0/2)

Matches lost as the favourite
5: Manly (5/7)
4: North Queensland (4/7)
3: Canberra (3/6), Roosters (3/8), Melbourne (3/8)
2: Parramatta (2/2), Brisbane (2/4), Wests Tigers (2/3), Souths (2/5), Penrith (2/6)
1: Warriors (1/4), St George-Illawarra (1/8)
0: Cronulla (0/2)

Matches involving each side that have resulted in upsets
6: Wests Tigers
5: Manly, Warriors, Brisbane
4: Newcastle, Penrith, Souths, Parramatta, Canberra, North Queensland
3: Cronulla, Gold Coast, Melbourne, Roosters
2: Bulldogs
1: St George-Illawarra

$1.90 apiece matches
Round 1 Newcastle v Manly
Round 2 St George-Illawarra v Cronulla

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