Origin/NRL Betting Update




$1.85 – NSW to win – The Blues firmed in from $2.10 with Jonathan Thurston ruled out. They have won one of their past nine games at Suncorp Stadium.
$1.85 – Under 33.5 total points – The past six opening games have all been under 33.5 total points. The totals included: 28,28,20,20,21,10.
$2 – QLD to win – It is the first time in 12 years since Game 3, 2005, that QLD are not favourites at home. NSW won that game 32-10.
$2.30 – Neither team scores 20 points – In the past six opening games, both teams have failed to register 20 points.
$2.55 – NSW 1-12 (80 min) – The past 13 opening games of the series have been decided by 12 points or less.
$2.60 – NSW/NSW Half/Full (80 min) – The team leading at half time has won 23 of the past 28 Origin matches. In the last five series NSW has led at HT only five times, but has won four of those games.
$6 – Tyson Frizell to score a try – The Blues’ backrower has scored a try in his last two Origin appearances.
$6.50 – Cameron Smith MOM – The Maroons’ captain is favourite to win his seventh Man of the Match award and move into outright second position on the overall list behind Wally Lewis (8)
$7.50 – Mitchell Pearce MOM – The Blues’ playmaker is the shortest priced NSW player to win the Man of the Match award.
$12 – Dane Gagai First Try Scorer – The Maroons’ winger scored a hat-trick in Game 2 at Suncorp Stadium last series.


NSW is holding 70 percent of the early money with TAB to win State Of Origin Game 1 on Wednesday night.

Even more impressively, 93% of the dollars today have been on the Blues ($1.85) to defeat the Maroons on Wednesday night.

“One punter placed $20,000 on the Blues to win last night at $1.85, then has come back today for a further $15,000,” TAB’s Kristen Fahd said.

“Not only are punters backing NSW to win game one but they are also predicting a whitewash with NSW to win all three games also heavily backed at $5.50.”

TAB.com.au odds
State Of Origin Game 1
$1.85 NSW
$2 Queensland

Series Score
$2.40 NSW 2-1
$2.70 Queensland 2-1
$5.50 NSW 3-0
$6.50 Queensland 3-0


New South Wales has firmed with TAB from $2.15 to $2 to win the opening State Of Origin clash after the squads were announced.

“Clearly punters have been far more impressed with the Blues’ selectors rather than Queensland’s,” TAB’s Gerard Middleton said.

“Since Billy Slater was confirmed as a shock snubbing from the Maroons’ side, 90 per cent of the money has been for New South Wales to win the series opener in Brisbane.”

The Blues have also shortened to win the series, from $2 to $1.95.

TAB.com.au odds
State Of Origin Game 1
$1.85 Queensland
$2 New South Wales

State Of Origin Winner
$1.85 Queensland
$1.95 New South Wales


TAB punters have thrown their support behind Queensland to win Game 1 of the State Of Origin.

“The Blues were seeing all the early support over the past couple of months but it seems to have swung back to the Maroons with money now running 2-1 in their favour,” TAB’s Kristen Fahd said.

“NSW haven’t had the best luck in Game 1 with two wins from the past seven Origin openers, however, Laurie Daley’s squad certainly has the potential to turn their luck around and start the series off with a bang.”

In the overall market, money has been split 50-50.

TAB.com.au odds
State Of Origin Game 1
$1.70 Queensland
$2.15 New South Wales

State Of Origin Winner
$1.80 Queensland
$2 New South Wales


CANBERRA have trimmed up from $11 into $9 in premiership betting after ending a three-game skid on the weekend.

The Raiders returned to their winning ways with a 22-16 victory over Parramatta on Saturday night, edging themselves into eighth spot on the ladder.

“Punters couldn’t split the two teams in early betting. Money was running fairly evenly right up until kick off.”, TAB’s Jaimee Rogers said.

“It wasn’t all smooth sailing for the Raiders who gave up their 10-0 lead in the second half, however, they dug deep and managed to hold on to get the win.”

In other betting news:
· Gold Coast are $3.50 out to $5 in Top 8 betting after their 30-10 loss to Manly
· Suliasi Vunivalu is $3.50 into $3 in the Top Try Scorer market after an impressive performance against South Sydney, scoring one try.
· Brisbane have trimmed up from $6 into $5.50 in the Minor Premiership market after smashing the Tigers 36-0

TAB.com.au odds
Premiership Market
$3.75 Melbourne
$6.50 Brisbane, Roosters
$8 Cronulla
$9 Canberra
$15 Penrith
$17 St George Illawarra
$21 Manly, North Queensland
$34 Bulldogs, Warriors, Parramatta
$41 Gold Coast
$81 South Sydney
$151 Wests Tigers
$501 Newcastle

Top 8 Market
$1.04 Brisbane
$1.05 Roosters, Cronulla
$1.28 St George Illawarra
$1.40 North Queensland
$1.50 Canberra
$1.90 Manly
$2.20 Penrith, Parramatta
$2.50 Bulldogs
$3 Warriors
$5 Gold Coast
$9 South Sydney
$21 Wests Tigers
$51 Newcastle

Top Try Scorer Market
$3 Suliasi Vunivalu
$3.25 Jordan Rapana
$5 Josh Addo-Carr
$10 Semi Radradra
$12 James Roberts
$13 David Fusitua
$19 Corey Oates, Latrell Mitchell
$21 Daniel Tupou

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