AFL Round 22 Picks


West Coast v Hawthorn

A great match-up to kick off the penultimate round of home and away footy. West Coast will come into this full of confidence after a gutsy last kick win over GWS last week. Back at home, I think they will be pumped up to put in a huge effort here leading into the finals.

With their relatively poor percentage, there is plenty on line for the Hawks also, needing to win to all but secure a top-2 spot. They’ve dominated the Eagles in recent times, but no one can forget their last meeting at Subiaco where West Coast came out on top in the Qualifying Final. I think the steam is on the mark here and the Hawks might have a let down.

OTP Recommendation

West Coast to Win4 at 1.80Bookie Image 1+3.2

otp odds

North Melbourne v Sydney

The Swans put the pedal down last week against the Saints in an ultra-impressive performance. A similar result in this one and the Swans will surely become a pronounced Flag fave.

The Roos were soundly defeated by Hawthorn last week and have now lost 7 of their last 9. They have however won their last eight in Hobart – the last loss was to Sydney on their last visit back in 2013.

Ben Brown comes back for North while Tippett makes a much-awaited return for Sydney who also lose Kieran Jack. I think the Roos will be better this week but just don’t see how the Sydney midfield of the likes of Kennedy, Hannebery and Parker don’t get well on top.

OTP Recommendation

HT/FT North Melb/Sydney1 at 6.60Bookie Image 2-1

OTP Recommendation

Sydney -10.5 2nd Half3 at 1.92Bookie Image 3-3

otp odds

Collingwood v Gold Coast

What an inexplicable performance from the Suns last week going down to Essendon. They had plenty of the ball but just could not make the most of their forward entries before getting smashed on the counter attack. Eade has indeed put the ‘Rocket’ up them this week and staying in Melbourne can only be a positive.

The Magpies are finishing the year with a flourish after going very close to beating the Bulldogs last week. Having said that, I really don’t think there is too much between these two at their best. The Suns will be much better than last week and I think they represent good each/way value.

OTP Recommendation

Gold Coast +24.52 at 1.90Bookie Image 4-2

OTP Recommendation

Gold Coast to Win1 at 3.90Bookie Image 5-1

otp odds

Carlton v Melbourne

Both teams return from interstate trips. The Blues put in a huge final quarter but it counted for nothing as the Lions held on to make it nine consecutive losses. Melbourne meanwhile had a solid win over a fading Port to notch up three wins on the trot.

Cartlon have had the edge on the Demons in recent times, but the two teams are heading in different directions at present. Assuming the Swans beat North, the Demons faint finals hopes remain (although they travel to Geelong in R23). The Blues have struggled at the MCG this year and the Demons are just playing much better footy right now – more than enough to cover the four goal spread.

OTP Recommendation

Melbourne -22.53 at 1.93Bookie Image 6-3

otp odds

    Grand Final -9.5 9.5 -100%
    Finals Week Three +3.6 4 90%
    Finals Week Two -3 3 -100%
    Finals Week One +1.82 10 18%
    Round Twenty-Three -9 9 -100%
    Round Twenty-Two -6.8 14 -49%
    Round Twenty-One +5.25 12 44%
    Round Twenty -4.44 14 -32%
    Round Nineteen +4 9.5 42%
    Round Eighteen -6.28 14 -45%
    Round Seventeen -0.15 15.5 -1%
    Round Sixteen -9 9 -100%
    Round Fifteen -8 8 -100%
    Round Fourteen -0.24 6 -4%
    Round Thirteen +4.19 10 42%
    Round Twelve +10.93 17 64%
    Round Eleven +0.1 13 1%
    Round Ten +6.68 13 51%
    Round Nine +1.34 12 11%
    Round Eight -13.74 19.5 -72%
    Round Seven -3.21 15 -21%
    Round Six -0.6 14 -4%
    Round Five +2.37 9 26%
    Round Four +5.93 12 49%
    Round Three -4.15 10 -42%
    Round Two -1.84 18 -10%
    Total -33.74 300 -11%

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