AFL Round 20 Picks


Richmond v Collingwood

Two teams that cannot make the finals, but what a match this promises to be. It’s all on the line for the Tigers and coach Damien Hardwick who is most probably one bad loss from losing his job. They come off big losses to the Hawks and GWS but surely there is some belief in this team that they can win this one.

Collingwood have been playing well recently and come off a solid win over West Coast. Blair and Cox come back into the line-up. I think the Tigers will show some fight here in what should be a tight match.

OTP Recommendation

Richmond +16.52 at 1.93Bookie Image 1+1.86

otp odds

Melbourne v Hawthorn

The Demons just got over the line last week in an error-riddled affair. They were competitive against the Hawks in Round 11 when going down by just 20 points. Roos has made three changes bringing some tough, hard players. It would not surprise to see them try and tie this one down.

Rioli comes back into the Hawthorn team that were absolutely dreadful for much of their clash with Carlton last week in Tasmania. They did manage to notch up their 10th consecutive win however and have been dominant over Melbourne in recent history, winning the last 13 matches.

I think the Hawks will do what they have to and come home stronger. Both teams are winning around 50% in first quarters for the year – the goal and change start looks value to me.

OTP Recommendation

Melbourne +7.5 First Quarter3 at 1.90Bookie Image 2+2.7

OTP Recommendation

Hawthorn 1-393 at 2.30Bookie Image 3-3

otp odds

Gold Coast v GWS

Another mammoth win by GWS last week as they secured their spot in a debut finals series. Word is that there was a solid post-match celebration for this achievement but Leon Cameron will have them back down to earth. Losing Shiel to injury is significant, but it looks as though the steam is still coming for the minus after the teams were named.

The Suns were gutsy in a narrow loss to Melbourne last week. It’s very hard to see their makeshift midfield matching it with the fast-running GWS. The Suns still have plenty of talent up forward and should be able to score relatively freely.

The weather looks good, so I think this will be a high-scoring 200+ encounter.

OTP Recommendation

Total Points Over 192.53 at 1.91Bookie Image 4-3

otp odds

Geelong v Essendon

The Cats have made it to the top-4 with three quality wins over Fremantle, Adelaide and Western Bulldogs. It goes without saying that this should be much easier.

The Bombers of course have well and truly checked out for the season, notching up another huge loss to Adelaide last week. That having been said, they get some experience back this week and cannot get any worse than what has been served up over the past three weeks. I think they are a great chance to get the 8-9 goals needed to beat this team total even if does come in the last quarter junk time.

OTP Recommendation

Essendon Total Points Over 55.53 at 1.90Bookie Image 5-3

otp odds

    Grand Final -9.5 9.5 -100%
    Finals Week Three +3.6 4 90%
    Finals Week Two -3 3 -100%
    Finals Week One +1.82 10 18%
    Round Twenty-Three -9 9 -100%
    Round Twenty-Two -6.8 14 -49%
    Round Twenty-One +5.25 12 44%
    Round Twenty -4.44 14 -32%
    Round Nineteen +4 9.5 42%
    Round Eighteen -6.28 14 -45%
    Round Seventeen -0.15 15.5 -1%
    Round Sixteen -9 9 -100%
    Round Fifteen -8 8 -100%
    Round Fourteen -0.24 6 -4%
    Round Thirteen +4.19 10 42%
    Round Twelve +10.93 17 64%
    Round Eleven +0.1 13 1%
    Round Ten +6.68 13 51%
    Round Nine +1.34 12 11%
    Round Eight -13.74 19.5 -72%
    Round Seven -3.21 15 -21%
    Round Six -0.6 14 -4%
    Round Five +2.37 9 26%
    Round Four +5.93 12 49%
    Round Three -4.15 10 -42%
    Round Two -1.84 18 -10%
    Total -33.74 300 -11%

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