AFL Round 19 Picks


Geelong v Western Bulldogs

It’s a genuine back-to-the-wall situation for the Bulldogs this week. They’ve been decimated by injury, losing Morris, Boyd, Wallis and Suckling among another five changes. They’re trying everything in the lead-up, including a night in Geelong, but I just don’t see how they can get up for this.

The Cats are coming off a great win over Adelaide and have an added motivation with Bartel playing his 300th. With a possible shower forecast or at the very least some damp night-time conditions will suit the home team. It has all the hallmarks of a dour, low-scoring affair but I’m confident the Cats will end up well on top. Bet up to 26.

OTP Recommendation

Geelong -23.53 at 1.94Bookie Image 1+2.82

otp odds

North Melbourne v St Kilda

A fair dinkum Saturday night 8th v 9th blockbuster with Brent Harvey breaking the all-time game record. The Roos drop mark-of-the-year Daw for Waite.

The Saints have been flying at Etihad, winning their last seven in a row there including wins over Geelong and Western Bulldogs last week. They haven’t beaten the Roos since late 2011 however, losing their past five encounters.

This promises to be a belter of a match. I think the Roos can use the emotion of the night to scrape over the line.

OTP Recommendation

North Melbourne 1-191.5 at 4.25Bookie Image 2-1.5

otp odds

Adelaide v Essendon

The Crows had their eight-game win streak broken at Geelong, but kick off an extraordinarily easy run home with the lowly Bombers in Adelaide. Walker misses with and ankle, but there are plenty of scoring options left up forward – look for Lynch and Betts to completely carve up the inexperienced Essendon back-line.

What a horror-show it was for the Bombers last week getting trounced by Brisbane at home. Hard to see them playing any worse but this will be one-sided all the way – how will Adelaide not be a three-goal per quarter better team here? Will be covering and a good show at the triple-figure win.

OTP Recommendation

Adelaide -63.54 at 1.92Bookie Image 3+3.68

OTP Recommendation

Adelaide 100+1 at 6.00Bookie Image 4-1

otp odds

    Grand Final -9.5 9.5 -100%
    Finals Week Three +3.6 4 90%
    Finals Week Two -3 3 -100%
    Finals Week One +1.82 10 18%
    Round Twenty-Three -9 9 -100%
    Round Twenty-Two -6.8 14 -49%
    Round Twenty-One +5.25 12 44%
    Round Twenty -4.44 14 -32%
    Round Nineteen +4 9.5 42%
    Round Eighteen -6.28 14 -45%
    Round Seventeen -0.15 15.5 -1%
    Round Sixteen -9 9 -100%
    Round Fifteen -8 8 -100%
    Round Fourteen -0.24 6 -4%
    Round Thirteen +4.19 10 42%
    Round Twelve +10.93 17 64%
    Round Eleven +0.1 13 1%
    Round Ten +6.68 13 51%
    Round Nine +1.34 12 11%
    Round Eight -13.74 19.5 -72%
    Round Seven -3.21 15 -21%
    Round Six -0.6 14 -4%
    Round Five +2.37 9 26%
    Round Four +5.93 12 49%
    Round Three -4.15 10 -42%
    Round Two -1.84 18 -10%
    Total -33.74 300 -11%

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