More pain for Freo


Sydney v North Melbourne

A genuine top-4 clash to kick off the weekend. The Kangaroos are looking for an unthinkable 10-0 start after another big win last week over Carlton, while the Swans held on against Hawthorn with a much-needed contribution from Lance Franklin.

The Swans have won eight of the past ten between these two at the SCG. North came out on top in last year’s Semi Final, but Sydney were missing 3-4 of their best on that occasion. Plenty of pundits talking up the 9-0 Roos and how can they be 2/1? Sydney are travelling just as well for mine right now and have the edge at the contested ball.

The steam has already forced Pinnacle to go to 14. It may go even lower but that is enough for me to get involved.

OTP Recommendation

Sydney -14.53 at 1.90Bookie Image 1+2.7

otp odds

St Kilda v Fremantle

It doesn’t get any easier for the winless Dockers after getting humiliated at home by Richmond. The Saints meanwhile come into this having eased past Essendon.

If you’re willing to put a line through St Kilda’s horror loss to West Coast a few weeks ago, they have been quite competitive. They meet Fremantle at Etihad Stadium where even when Freo were going much better, St Kilda have amassed an 8-2 run.

Freo are last in inside 50’s and with most of their starting backline still missing, how will they stop St Kilda’s forwards. Josh Bruce booted five last week and taking some of the attention away from Nick Riewoldt can only be a positive.

OTP Recommendation

St Kilda -23.54 at 1.92Bookie Image 2+3.68

OTP Recommendation

St Kilda 60+1 at 5.75Bookie Image 3-1

otp odds

Adelaide v GWS

Adelaide got the job done against the undermanned Suns while GWS continued their stellar form with a win over the Western Bulldogs.

The Adelaide Oval is somewhat of a final hurdle for GWS having not won here in two prior starts. And they are 4-1 on the road this year. Having said that, I think this represents a massive test. I’ve been on the GWS bandwagon but talk of Premierships in Round 10 and as short as 9/2 the flag? Please.

The Crows haven’t been travelling all that well but will be very keen to atone for the loss to Geelong here a fortnight ago. They have plenty of variety up forward and with a full house on a Saturday night really should be getting the better of some of the less experienced Giants. Bet down to 1.80.

OTP Recommendation

Adelaide to Win3 at 2.10Bookie Image 4+3.3

otp odds

Collingwood v Western Bulldogs

The Magpies are coming off their best performance of the year with a win over Geelong while the Bulldogs suffered the aforementioned loss to the red hot GWS.

Collingwood haven’t had the most consistent season but they are back at the ‘G’ and look to have some good momentum. The Dogs look to bounce back from the GWS and do get back ball-winner Boyd. I think this one will go down to the wire with the Pies representing some moneyline value.

OTP Recommendation

Collingwood to Win2 at 2.94Bookie Image 5-2

otp odds

    Grand Final -9.5 9.5 -100%
    Finals Week Three +3.6 4 90%
    Finals Week Two -3 3 -100%
    Finals Week One +1.82 10 18%
    Round Twenty-Three -9 9 -100%
    Round Twenty-Two -6.8 14 -49%
    Round Twenty-One +5.25 12 44%
    Round Twenty -4.44 14 -32%
    Round Nineteen +4 9.5 42%
    Round Eighteen -6.28 14 -45%
    Round Seventeen -0.15 15.5 -1%
    Round Sixteen -9 9 -100%
    Round Fifteen -8 8 -100%
    Round Fourteen -0.24 6 -4%
    Round Thirteen +4.19 10 42%
    Round Twelve +10.93 17 64%
    Round Eleven +0.1 13 1%
    Round Ten +6.68 13 51%
    Round Nine +1.34 12 11%
    Round Eight -13.74 19.5 -72%
    Round Seven -3.21 15 -21%
    Round Six -0.6 14 -4%
    Round Five +2.37 9 26%
    Round Four +5.93 12 49%
    Round Three -4.15 10 -42%
    Round Two -1.84 18 -10%
    Total -33.74 300 -11%

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