Hawks too short


Hawthorn v Adelaide

A big loss to West Coast in week one and the Hawks come back to the MCG without sharp-shooter Gunstan. Can Roughead lift? If he doesn't, they'll be needing big contributions from the likes of Puopolo and Rioli.

Adelaide return to the scene of last week's triumph. As predicted, Walker and Betts were the difference in the end. Adelaide have been on a rollercoaster of emotions this year and far from taking its toll, the team are playing free and smart footy. There was a scare around Dangerfield yesterday, but despite training lightly, he looks set to play.

Punters and bookies appear to be expecting Hawthorn to come back from Perth to resume normal service and win this comfortably. I can't quite agree. They have been well below their best for some time now. They have a solid record against Adelaide but have a lot more to lose.

The line is just too big for mine. The steam looks set to come for the minus, but I'm happy to bet down to +20 in an each-way play.

OTP Recommendation

Adelaide to win1 at 4.29Bookie Image 1-1

OTP Recommendation

Adelaide +25.53 at 1.96Bookie Image 2-3

otp odds

Sydney v North Melbourne

Sydney threw just about everything at Fremantle last week only to come up nine points short. It is actually a tribute to coach Longmire to have gotten this far given the troubles surrounding the likes of Goodes and now Franklin. How much that huge effort in Perth takes out of the players will be the main concern here.

North put the Tigers out last week in a convincing performance in the end. They upset the Swans at the SCG last year, their only success in the last ten meetings dating back to the 2008 Elimination Final. Of course the Swans smashed them by 12 goals at this venue at the same stage last year.

Some showers are forecast in Sydney for Saturday night. I can see this being a tight, low-scoring battle right to the end. I will play my small lean to the plus.

OTP Recommendation

North Melbourne +10.52 at 1.93Bookie Image 3+1.86

otp odds

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