Andre Agassi 1.15 USA (2) vs. Rainer Schuettler GER (31)
-
Unbeaten in his three previous finals and on a 20-match winning streak at
Melbourne Park, it's hard to see Agassi dropping this one. If he continues
to play as he has been over the past fortnight an eighth Slam should be a
formality. Schuettler definitely has the ability to match it with Andre from
the back for periods of the match but over the length of a five-setter he
may struggle. He must also cope with the unique atmosphere of his first
Grand Slam final. Agassi in four.
AUSTRALIAN OPEN - FRIDAY 24th JANUARY
NO PLAY
FRIDAY'S
SEMI FINAL (SELECTION IN BOLD)
Rainer Schuettler 2.25 GER (31) vs. Andy Roddick USA (9)
-
Fitness will surely play a massive role in this encounter. Roddick has of
course just played one of the longest matches in Grand Slam history to
follow up a five setter against Youzhny. He is serving to a very high
standard and must feel confident, but if Schuettler can prolong this - and
given the German's current form and fitness, he certainly can - he must be
favoured to reach the final. The forecast is for a very warm night much
unlike the cool evening conditions that Roddick has been accustomed to so
far. The only problem I can envisage is that Schuettler gets ahead of
himself and starts thinking about the final too early.
AUSTRALIAN OPEN - THURSDAY 23rd JANUARY
NO PLAY
THURSDAY'S
SEMI FINAL (SELECTION IN BOLD)
Wayne Ferreira RSA vs. Andre Agassi 1.15 USA (2)
-
The veteran South African has made it to his second Aussie Open semi final
courtesy of some great play but also a faltering and mentally inept Ferrero
in the quarters. He'll go in as one of the longest priced (6/1) semi
finalists in Grand Slam history and anyone who has taken a look at their
head-to-head record will know why. The series stands at 10-0 (all on hard)
with Agassi surrendering just one of 22 sets played. The tournament
favourite has had the perfect run to this stage and it would indeed shock
all and sundry should he not progress to the final in this one.
AUSTRALIAN OPEN - WEDNESDAY 22nd JANUARY
NO PLAYS
QUARTER
FINAL MATCHES FOR WEDNESDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Younes El Aynaoui MAR (18) vs. Andy Roddick 1.67 USA (9)
-
You've got to hand it to both of these - the Moroccan with the unprecedented
performance against the world number one and Roddick coming from two sets
and a break down to defeat Youzhny - a comeback that I must say thought was
well beyond the young American. El Aynaoui won't have the luxury off
settling down into and dominating as many points as he did with Hewitt as
Roddick will win plenty of free points with the big serve. The prime-time
night fixture might just be to the A-Rod's liking, but this is a tough one
to call with any confidence.
Rainer Schuettler 2.00 GER (31) vs.
David Nalbandian ARG (10)
-
The hard work in the off-season has paid off for the underrated German as he
now finds himself in his first Grand Slam quarter final. The predicted win
over Blake showed just how he has improved in the last 12 months. He runs
just about everything down, frustrating opponents with his speed around the
court. They played each other three times last year with Schuettler winning
two (hard and carpet) of the three. All were tight matches and I envisage
another one today but the daytime conditions must favor the fitter
Schuettler for mine.
AUSTRALIAN OPEN - TUESDAY 21st JANUARY
NO PLAYS
QUARTER
FINAL MATCHES FOR TUESDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Wayne Ferreira RSA vs. Juan Carlos Ferrero 1.40 ESP (4)
-
The South African has continued his amazing run of success at Melbourne
Park, but it's very hard to go against the in-form Spaniard. Ferrero was
very impressive against a nervous Ancic in the last round but he has had a
busy few weeks and is getting treatment for a leg/thigh problem, so he's got
to be some risk, but on talent and class he should be far too good.
Sebastien Grosjean FRA (12) vs. Andre Agassi 1.25 USA (2)
-
It's 2-all between these two and 2-1 in Agassi's favour on hardcourts (inc.
a tight three set win at last year's TMS Paris). Just about everything
points to a comfortable Agassi win in my book. He soundly defeated Grosjean
2 & 3 in the Kooyong warm-up a week ago and has had such as easy run to this
point he'll have plenty in the tank should it go the distance.
The
German has matched his best performance in the Aussie Open after the Safin
walkover while Blake is in uncharted waters at the business end of a Grand
Slam. The young American has a great game and he says he's matured and
learnt a lot in the past 12 months, but I feel Schuettler might be too
consistent for him today. He has been in excellent form over the past two
weeks and for mine will have too much patience and experience in the
predicted testing conditions Monday.
A
2-0 head-to-head record in the Russian's favour must be worth something
here. Don't get too carried away with the A-Rod's form - he has defeated
Krajan, Voinea and Vicente to get here - but he'll need to find a new level
today. Youzhny looks and sounds very confident here while his win over Novak
in the previous round must be rated very highly.
OTHER
4th ROUND MATCHES FOR MONDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Lleyton Hewitt 1.16 AUS (1) vs. Younes El Aynaoui MAR (18)
-
It won't be easy for El Aynaoui to come up from that lengthy and tough
encounter with Lopez on Saturday. If the Moroccan was fresh, I'd have to
give him a sneaky chance, especially given how close their match at the US
Open was. But a well rested Hewitt will have far too much run in the
stifling afternoon conditions on Rod Laver Arena.
David Nalbandian3.00 ARG
(10) vs. Roger Federer SUI (6)
-
These two met twice last year, once on clay at Monte Carlo and the other on
carpet in Federer's backyard in Basel, with Nalbandian coming out on top on
both occasions. I really do think this will be a tight one. Federer came
into the tourney under a slight injury cloud but has gone along very nicely
with straight set wins over Saretta, Burgsmuller and Vinciguerra. Nalbandian
meanwhile has been assisted by a couple of retirements and a win over the
Crabb, but looks to be improving as the week goes on. The heavier night-time
conditions might just be to the Argentinean's liking.
AUSTRALIAN OPEN - SUNDAY 19th JANUARY
NO PLAYS
OTHER
4th ROUND MATCHES FOR SUNDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Wayne Ferreira 1.65 RSA vs. Sargis Sargsian ARM
-
The South African with his experience at the business end of Slams and more
importantly here in Melbourne is reason enough to have him a clear favourite
today. But another lengthy encounter is on the cards. Ferreira came from
nowhere to beat Fish in the 3rd Round (not for the first time in his
career!), while Sargsian knocked out local fave Philippoussis in four
playing some very smart tennis. Not sure how much that huge win will affect
him mentally, but if he can get himself back up this is not out of the
question by any means.
Mario Ancic CRO vs. Juan Carlos Ferrero 1.25 ESP (4)
-
The Spaniard made hard work of his last match with Santoro where he was
clearly the best player while failing to convert 20 of 26 break point
opportunities. Ancic has shown to possess a level of maturity beyond his
years here this week but this will be a learning experience.
Felix Mantilla ESP vs. Sebastien Grosjean 1.33 FRA (12)
-
Mantilla's 'never say die' attitude has got him through three straight five
setters - the last two from two sets to one down against Gambill and Costa -
but this is a big ask. I was willing to oppose the Frenchman in the last
round against Lapentti but it was a very impressive display indeed form the
past Aussie Open semi finalist. As much as I try, I just can't make a case
for the Spaniard here.
Guillermo Coria ARG vs. Andre Agassi 1.16 USA (2)
-
Andre was really put to the test against Escude in the 3rd round but he
lifted his game when it mattered to come out with a win in what was a very
tight match. Coria meanwhile continued his fine run with a straight sets win
over Nieminen but will find this much tougher. Agassi toweled up the
Argentinean 2 & 0 in their only meeting in Cincinnati last year. He
certainly has the ability to match it with Agassi from the back, but his
serve is relatively weak and against the best returner in the game, may
prove his downfall.
Any
doubts over the Russian's fitness will be put to the test by the hard
running German here. Schuettler has been in great form with straight sets
wins over Portas and Krajicek while Safin failed to overly impress when
dropping a set to both Sluiter and Montanes. Schuettler has taken set off
Safin in their last two meetings - both at the business end of the St
Petersburg event in Russia - so this should be a tight one.
The
left-handed Spaniard won the only meeting between these two at the TMS
Madrid last year and on current form he must be rated a huge chance here. El
Aynaoui disposed of the lowly Kutsenko in the 2nd round but did drop two
sets to Gimelstob is his first match so he'll need to lift his game for this
one. Lopez made very few errors in a straight sets win over the in-form
Ginepri in the last round and will be riding high on confidence today.
OTHER
3rd ROUND MATCHES FOR SATURDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Lleyton Hewitt 1.10 AUS (1) vs. Radek
Stepanek CZE
-
Stepanek has impressed me greatly this week but it will be very tough to
come up after that massive five-set win as predicted over Kuerten. A lengthy
doubles match in the heat of the day on Friday won't have done anything to
help keep the legs fresh for this and he'll need to be will Hewitt at the
other end. The night fixture should favour the Czech slightly but class will
prevail.
Andy Roddick 1.14 USA (9) vs. Fernando
Vicente ESP
-
Expect Vicente to put up more of a fight that a disinterested Voinea did on
Thursday. Vicente put in a great performance to get past Chela with a hard
working win that would have taken plenty out of the tank. He can get plenty
of balls back to get right in this match though. If he can get his less
experienced opponent frustrated, he might just have a show here.
Mikhail Youzhny RUS (25) vs.
Jiri
Novak 1.62 CZE (7)
-
Novak has made extremely tough work of his wins over Spadea and Olivier
Rochus, but should be feeling confident of a win today. He has a 2-0
head-to-head record and has too much experience for my liking in this
encounter.
James Blake USA (23) vs.
Alberto
Martin 3.50 ESP
-
Both are looking to advance to their first 4th round at a Slam. Martin
played a very clever game to get past Gonzalez in the last round and did
have a 3 & 6 win over Blake in their only previous meeting (Indianapolis,
2000). No question that Blake, who has not dropped a set to either Vanek or
Acasuso here this week, has the game, but he is short on Grand Slam
experience and has been know to get a little mentally weak when things get
tough.
David Nalbandian 2.00 ARG (10) vs.
Xavier Malisse BEL (20)
-
The Argentinean holds the 1-0 head-to-head record here after that five-set
win in last year's Wimbledon semi-final. Malisse made rather hard work in
getting past Dupuis in the 2nd round while Nalbandian had too much for Crabb.
Nalbandian looks fully fit and quietly confident this week, but this is a
very tough one to predict.
Andreas Vinciguerra SWE vs.
Roger Federer 1.25 SUI (6)
-
The Swede has started playing well again and has had a very easy run since
qualifying, but will find this very tough. A fit Federer simply wins, but
there is still that lingering injury doubt so it's hard for me to bet this
one.
The
Frenchman has a distinct head-to-head advantage (4-1; 2-0 on hard) but
Lapentti has come up at a very big price for mine. Both are past semi
finalists here, so they know the conditions well. Lapentti breezed through
against Sanchez in the second round and had a nice doubles workout Thursday.
Grosjean meanwhile didn't have it all his own way against Kucera and does
look vulnerable in this match-up.
The
highly rated Argentinean was very impressive against Canas in the second
round and will be too solid from the back of the court here. Nieminen relied
on Kafelnikov making a lot of errors in his second successive five-set win
on Wednesday and I don't foresee him having such a luxury today.
OTHER
3rd ROUND MATCHES FOR FRIDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Mardy Fish 2.25 USA vs. Wayne
Ferreira RSA
-
Fish finished the year on 13-2 challenger run and has continued that form
this year with some amazing tennis. Anyone who gets past Moya twice in two
weeks can play, so who knows this could be his break-out tourney. Ferreira
has the experience but isn't getting any younger, so don't be surprised to
see him tested in the hot afternoon conditions.
Sargis Sargsian 3.75 ARM vs. Mark
Philippoussis AUS
-
Sargsian has had wins over the highly rated Argentinean duo of Calleri and
Gaudio so he comes into this with some great form. He also came out on top
the last time they met in Toronto (2000). Philippoussis has been given a US
Open-Sampras like draw here - remarkably his third straight night match.
Despite this, I really do think it will be tight. Sargsian will throw up a
lot more variety and might just have the smarts to topple the Scud in this
one.
Mario Ancic CRO vs. Peter Luczak 2.75 AUS
-
Hard to believe one of these two are heading for the final 16 of a slam, but
the Melbournian must be rated some chance. He has been playing super tennis
over the past two or three weeks and with a rowdy crowd to spur him on
anything is possible here. Mario Ancic is a talented youngster but he made
an enormous number of errors against Schalken and on what I've seen will
need to lift his game for this.
Fabrice Santoro 4.33 FRA (28) vs. Juan Carlos Ferrero ESP (4)
-
Very hard to go against the in-form Spaniard after an impressive win over
Lisnard on Wednesday, but don't expect another cake walk today. The
Frenchman has had a very light workout this week and certainly has the
ability to prolong this one.
Albert Costa 1.73 ESP (8) vs. Felix
Mantilla ESP
- A
7-2 head-to-head record (2-0 on hard) in Costa's advantage is telling when
it comes to finding a winner here. Mantilla has impressed with two five-set
wins over Zabaleta and Gambill, but he'll find this much tougher.
Nicolas Escude FRA (29) vs. Andre Agassi 1.18 USA (2)
-
The Frenchman has some very fond memories of this court after clinching the
Davis Cup against Arthurs a few years ago. He has advanced with four set
wins over Motomura and C Rochus but he'll need to lift his game
significantly today on what I've seen so far this week. Agassi was ruthless
against H-T Lee and the he'll will most certainly be hoping to avoid a dog
fight in the late afternoon heat. Not at this price.
Guga is all the rage in Melbourne this year, but I'm yet to be convinced.
Yes, he won a series event in Auckland on the way here, but he certainly
didn't have things all his own way against Arazi in the 1st round - a player
who he has had no problem with whatsoever in the past. And one must not
forget that he is yet to advance past the second round in six starts here.
Stepanek had Guga's measure at the rich TMS Paris (carpet) last year and was
ultra impressive in his 1st round win over Carlsen.
It
must be said that the A-rod has been far from impressive down under this
year. He lost the plot in the wind in Sydney and made rather hard work of
Krajan on Tuesday night. Voinea looked fit - despite coming in with a
serious leg concern - in his 1st round win over Sa and took care of two big
servers in Boutter and Dent here last year, so this does not look beyond
him. Looks like the perfect time to utilise William Hill's injury/void rule.
The
consistency of the German should be enough in this one. Krajicek has been
training hard for some time now and is as fit as ever at this time of the
year but he'll need more than the booming serve today, not that Schuettler
has too much trouble with big servers himself.
Both advanced after tough first round encounters. Martin got past the
talented up and comer Alex Bogomolov Jr., while Gonzalez had some trouble in
an error ridden win over Varlet. I have my doubts over the Chilean's fitness
at this point in time, so if Martin can extend this he may just be a little
too solid.
Vicente came back from 2 sets down to our pick Horna in the 1st round,
helped considerably by a massive 26 aces, while Chela somehow dropped a set
to the erratic Beck. Vicente notably has a 2-0 head-to-head record (both on
clay) and has come up a little big for mine.
OTHER
2nd ROUND MATCHES FOR THURSDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Lleyton Hewitt 1.04 AUS (1) vs. Todd Larkham AUS
-
The Aussie has been given the favorable night session and will be looking
for an Agassi like performance here to conserve some energy after that first
round five-setter against Larsson.
Younes El Aynaoui 1.29 MAR (18) vs.
Vadim Kutsenko UZB
-
The qualifier Kutsenko got past the spasmodic Ljubicic in his Grand Slam
debut but this will be tougher. As predicted, El Aynaoui had a tough time of
it against Gimelstob before the Yank was forced to pull the pin with cramps
when leading two sets to one, but he should be on his game for this one.
Robby Ginepri USA vs.
Feliciano
Lopez 1.83 ESP
-
Very tough to separate these two. The big serving Spaniard will go for more,
while Ginepri will be more patient and wait for the errors to flow.
Mikhail Youzhny 1.13 RUS (25) vs.
Joseph Sirianni AUS
-
Miracles do happen, but twice in one week? I don't think so. I've copped
plenty for throwing Mirnyi into my day two multi at 33s on (and rightly so!)
and it's almost a case of once bitten twice shy today, but the Russian will
have far too much class and ability here.
Olivier Rochus BEL vs.
Jiri Novak
1.17 CZE (7)
- Olivier
took a set off the Czech in their only prior meeting last year at Indian
Wells but this is clearly not his favourite surface. He came back from two
sets down to the mentally challenged Di Pasquale and will fight hard again,
but class should prevail.
Marat Safin 1.10 RUS (3) vs. Albert
Montanes ESP
- A
fit Russian wins this one.
James Blake 1.17 USA (23) vs. Jose Acasuso ARG
-
Looks like one for the multi's here. The Argentinean gets through thanks to
the Carraz retirement but this is a big ask. On dirt it would be closer, but
the young American should be far too good.
David Nalbandian1.36 ARG (10) vs.
Jaymon Crabb AUS
- Tough one here.
Nalbandian got past an injured Golmard while Crabb beat a typically erratic
Ilie. The Aussie has been playing some great tennis over the past few weeks
but will struggle to match it from the back against this guy.
Anthony Dupuis FRA vs. Xavier Malisse
1.33 BEL (20)
- A
fit Malisse wins this, but there is still a small concern about the
Belgian's fitness, so it's hard to bet here.
Andreas Vinciguerra 1.40 SWE vs.
Julian Knowle AUT
- Vinciguerra
had a big win over Koubek after coming through qualies here while Knowle
stumbled across the line against an Aussie junior. The Austrian's serve was
just terrible late in this game so I fancy the Swede will get more back and
have far too much.
Lars Burgsmuller GER vs.
Roger Federer 1.14 SUI (6)
-
Once again, it's hard to be touching this price on players coming in with
injury concerns.
Hard to believe the two Argentineans have not previously met on the ATP
Tour, but this should be a great match. Coria is a tremendously talented
youngster who made quick work of the more experienced Clavet in the 1st
round and at 6/4 looks well over the odds.
Kafelnikov
dropped a set to Morrison in the 1st round while Nieminen got past the
in-form Davydenko. It's always dangerous to write off past champs and on
ability the Russian wins, but he comes up against a player who might provide
a little more opposition today.
The
rather inconsistent Frenchman comes up against an in-form Christophe Rochus
today. The Belgian qualifier dispatched of Labadze in the first round with
ease, while Escude typically had a loss of concentration when dropping a set
to Motomura. Christophe has played well here before, will be at home in the
Court 18 atmosphere, and is riding sky high on confidence so I don't believe
a win today is out of the question.
OTHER
2nd ROUND MATCHES FOR WEDNESDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Carlos Moya 1.42 ESP (5) vs. Mardy
Fish USA
-
Fish came out on top in a tight clash in Sydney last week but one has to
favour the Spaniard in the best-of-five situation. Both had solid first
round wins, but the price looks about right here.
Michel Kratochvil SUI vs.
Wayne
Ferreira 1.57 RSA
-
Kratochvil made light work of Sanguinetti in the opening round, while
Ferreira dropped a set to Robredo. The South African has a great record here
but has been known the make rather hard work of these type of matches.
Gaston Gaudio 1.50 ARG (17) vs. Sargis
Sargsian ARM
- Gaudio
for me but has come up a little short for my liking.
Fabrice Santoro 1.57 FRA vsWayne ArthursAUS
-
The big serving Aussie came back from two sets down to trump our pick Daniel
in the 1st round - an amazing performance considering his injury layoff.
This will be tougher. The Frenchman has the smarts to work Arthurs around
the court and he'll need more than his big serve to get through this.
Sjeng Schalken 1.40 NED (16) vs. Mario Ancic CRO
-
Schalken has improved in recent times but as previously mentioned has a poor
record in Melbourne. He got past Brasington in the 1st round after coming in
with a slight injury cloud (W/D Chennai w. wrist). The youngster Ancic
impressed when putting out Waske in straight sets, but the Dutchman will
have far too much experience here.
Mark Philippoussis AUS vs.
Paradorn Srichaphan 1.55 THA (11)
-
The Scud has been well looked after with another Centre Court night match.
He might have got past Verkerk in four but this will be tougher. The Thai
hero is short enough and lacks Grand Slam experience but should be far too
good at this point in time.
Peter Luczak1.61 AUS vs.
Renzo Furlan ITA
-
Furlan was the subject of a massive plunge on Monday as word got around that
Pavel was on one leg while Luczak continued his good form with a straight
sets with over Savolt. It's a fairly short price to be taking for someone in
his first Grand Slam main draw, but form and home crowd advantage should be
enough.
Jean-Rene Lisnard FRA vs.
Juan
Carlos Ferrero 1.15 ESP (4)
- Lisnard
got past Gaudenzi in five after starting the year well in Chennai with wins
over Pless, Okun and Schuettler. Ferrero impressed in Sydney and finished
Squillari off nicely. Should have far too much class, but will have to be on
his game.
Albert Costa 1.50 ESP (8) vs. Scott
Draper AUS
-
Draper was erratic at times against Alex Kim while Costa dropped the third
set to qualifier Prinosil. The Spaniard has the class and consistency to
overwhelm Draper, but with the local crowd support it could go down to the
wire.
Felix Mantilla 1.50 ESP vs.
Jan-Michael Gambill USA (27)
- Gambill
was only broken once on serve in five sets against the dangerous Llodra on
the way to winning his first match in six visits to the Aussie Open, while
Mantilla got past our man Zabaleta also in five. Both have started the year
with some solid performances but at this price, I have to side with the
Spaniard.
Nicolas Lapentti1.42 ECU (24) vs.
David Sanchez ESP
-
Very tough to pick this one. Lapentti put last weeks shocker in Sydney
behind him with a thrashing of Benneateu while Sanchez came back to knock
out Pless. Too short for me.
Karol Kucera 3.50 SVK vs. Sebastien
Grosjean FRA (12)
-
The head-to-head record of 3-0 - a straight sets win on hardcourts to
Grosjean in each of the last three years - is damning, but Kucera was very
impressive in his straight sets demolition of Vacek on Monday and must be
rated some chance today. Grosjean had no problems with Meligeni but has come
up well under the odds for my liking.
Hyung-Taik Lee KOR vs.
Andre Agassi 1.15 USA (2)
-
Lee is on an 8-0 run and as they say, winning form in good form, but this
will be tough. The tournament's second favourite Agassi won't be looking to
get involved in a lengthy fight in this one or it could get interesting. A
nice 'popcorn' match for me.
Stepanek
had a very good rookie year on the ATP Tour last year claiming several more
highly ranked players on all surfaces. He started this year with a win over
the highly rated Lopez in Doha followed by losses to Youzhny and Russell. He
is making his Australian Open debut, and should be favourite in my book. The
aging Carlsen is on an 0-5 run here and early season losses to Hantschk and
Mantilla have not impressed.
Kuerten
is on a 4-0 (1-0 on hard) run against Arazi, but all have gone the distance.
It won't be difficult coming back down to earth after the impressive
Auckland win and the Brazilian has never advanced past the second round in
six starts here. The inconsistent Arazi, past quarter-finalist here,
struggled with injury for much of last year, but by all accounts is fit and
raring to go for '03 and should give Guga a shake.
Andre Sa was competitive on hardcourts last year, but a fully fit Voinea
should prevail in this one. That is the big question however. He withdrew
from Sydney a set down to Youzhny and was noticeably affected a fortnight
ago in Adelaide with a lower back/hamstring strain. He made the 4th round
here last year and is no stranger to these conditions, but there is too much
uncertainty over his fitness.
These two meet for the second time in two weeks after Vicente came out on
top in a three setter in Auckland. Horna is making his Aussie Open debut and
prefers the dirt, but his only appearance at a big hardcourt event last year
was very impressive indeed. He defeated A Martin and Schalken before going
down to Safin in a 3rd set tiebreaker at Miami. Vicente has had a few
matches under his belt in the last two weeks after a poor finish to '02, but
this won't be easy.
Last year's semi-finalist Novak is coming off a huge year but there are
easier 1st round opponents that this. Spadea has a very decent record in
Melbourne and early losses to Vahaly and Zabaleta this year provides no
cause for concern. This looks well over the odds for mine.
Knowle
lost his last eight matches in '02 and has not notched up an ATP Tour win
since Newport last July. He did win a weak field challenger (hard) in
February last year, but will find it tough against the 18 year-old local
who, as Australia's #2 Junior, beat Okun and Burgsmuller in last week's
Sydney qualies before taking a set off eventual winner H-T Lee.
The
veteran Rosset is only considered a slight threat on the indoor courts these
days and with no lead-up matches under his belt, he looks to be here to make
up the numbers. Ginepri is in his Aus Open debut but is in some fine form,
taking Novak to the limit in Auckland last week after failing to drop a set
through qualifying.
Juan Ignacio Chela to bt Karol Beck (1.14)
The
youngster Beck is finding his first visit down under very tough as witnessed
in a 1 & 2 thrashing by Crabb in last week's Sydney qualifying.
Max
Mirnyi to bt Joseph Sirianni (1.03)
Just how did this guy get another wildcard?
Rainer
Schuettler to bt Albert Portas (1.12)
The
Spaniard has done very little on hardcourts for some time now, so it really
is hard to see him winning this one. The German took a set off Ferrero in
the semis of Sydney last week after three good wins and has played very well
here over the last few years.
James Blake to bt Jiri
Vanek (1.10)
There's no doubting Blake's talent, but he still lets himself down mentally
on occasions. He has started the year off fairly well, finally defeating
Hewitt at the Hopman Cup and they losing a tight three setter to Moya last
week in Sydney.
Vanek is on an 0-8 Grand Slam run and this won't be easy.
David Nalbandian to bt
Jerome Golmard (1.50)
Golmard
is still under an injury cloud here having retired from him opening game of
the year in Chennai after only playing two games. Nalbandian had a three set
loss to Zabaleta last week in Auckland but this looks well within his
capabilities.
Anthony Dupuis to bt Jacobo Diaz (1.25)
The
Frenchman had a good win over Mirnyi in Adelaide and would be happy to see
his draw here. Diaz is 0-4 at the Aussie Open and 0-7 in Slams excluding the
French and first up in '03 will find it tough to break the duck today.
OTHER
1st ROUND MATCHES FOR TUESDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Lleyton Hewitt 1.07 AUS (1) vs. Magnus
Larsson SWE
-
The veteran Swede got through qualies with a good win over the dangerous
Tursunov, but isn't anywhere near fit enough for a best-of-five against
Hewitt.
Cecil Mamiit 1.70 USA vs. Todd Larkham
AUS
-
Journeyman Todd Larkham came through qualifying with three good wins but has
failed to get past the first round here on four other occasions and has some
ordinary challenge tour form from the second half of last year. Mamiit has
more experience and did have a good win over Burgsmuller and took a set off
Kucera in the Chennai lead-up, so is a deserving favourite for mine.
Younes El Aynaoui MAR (18) vs.
Justin Gimelstob 5.00 USA
- Gimelstob
has lost two tight matches to Kucera (Chennai) and Squillari (Syd Q) and has
been seen working very hard on the practice courts, so this might not be the
procession that some expect. The Moroccan started the season with a semi
appearance in Doha after six straight losses round off his best career year
in '02, but this is a danger game for mine.
Vadim Kutsenko UZB vs. Ivan Ljubicic
1.30 CRO
- Kutsenko
is making his Grand Slam debut after a tight three set win over Godwin in
the final round of qualifying. Ljubicic came out on top in a tight three
setter when these two met in Tashkent last year, and over five sets here one
has to go with the class to prevail again.
Feliciano Lopez 3.00 ESP vs. Alex Corretja ESP (15)
-
It's hard to know how much motivation Corretja is placing upon his campaign
here this year - he did beat Arazi in the Kooyong warm-up - but this is hard
to assess. Lopez is a highly rated Spaniard with a big serve and heavy
hitting game that got him some big wins last including a round of 16 at
Wimbledon. He is in his Aussie Open debut, but what he lacks in experience
he might be able to make it up in match fitness and exuberance.
Andy Roddick 1.08 USA (9) vs. Zeljko
Krajan CRO
-
I'm not tipping the A-Rod to get too far here, but this should be a
formality.
Mikhail Youzhny 1.45 RUS (25) vs.
Richard Gasquet FRA
-
What an intriguing 1st round match-up! The 16 year-old Frenchman has been
getting plenty of headlines down here with an impressive display at the
Kooyong warm-up. He might have to wait a little longer for his first Grand
Slam match win however, as he will face a tougher test mentally over the
five sets here. Youzhny should be well an truly over any Davis Cup hangover
and has made the 3rd round in both starts here.
Olivier Rochus 1.85 BEL vs. Arnaud Di
Pasquale FRA
-
Very tough. One of these will advance past the first round for the first
time here, but who? Olivier has not been disgraced with losses to Voinea and
Safin in the last two weeks while Di Pasquale has gone down to Gasquet and
Fish. The camp says the Frenchman is fit and raring to go, but don't write
off the gutsy Belgian.
Marat Safin RUS (3) vs.
Raemon
Sluiter 4.25 NED
-
The $64 question has to be just how in the Safin shoulder holding up? Last
year's runner-up pulled out of Sydney last week as a 'precaution', but one
must assume the injury is not too bad. Nevertheless, Sluiter, although a
rather inconsistent type, is certainly capable of prolonging this match. He
will appreciate the faster surfaces and might be worth a spec at this price.
Albert Montanes 1.66 ESP vs. Mariano
Puerta ARG
- A
couple of genuine clay courters meet here. Montanes has the advantage of
having a few matches in Chennai, but both were easlily defeated in 1st round
Sydney qualifying. Good Luck.
Todd Reid AUS vs.
Richard Krajicek 1.22 NED
-
The 18-year old Aussie has been competitive in the last two weeks when
taking a set off Spadea and Gaudio and he also claimed a set of Escude in
the corresponding match here last year. Over five sets the big serving
Dutchman is going to get too many free points, but I wont be touching this
price.
Gregory Carraz 2.10 FRA vs. Jose
Acasuso ARG
- Acasuso
had a great year on clay but is yet to prove himself whatsoever on
hardcourts. Carraz gets into the main draw for the first time as a lucky
loser from qualifying. He'll be match fit and have too much experience in
these conditions for mine.
Alberto Martin ESP vs.
Alex Bogomolov Jr. 3.25 USA
-
Very tough opener for the Spaniard here. Bogomolov Jr. is a fiery type with
a very big backcourt game that is sure to pose a few problems today. He beat
Haas in L.A. last year and won a challenger in late November. He qualified
into his first Aussie Open main draw and inexperience may prove his
downfall, but should go close.
Julien Varlet FRA vs.
Fernando
Gonzalez 1.20 CHI (13)
-
Fernando Gonzalez burst onto the scene last year with some massive wins on
hardcourts including a round of 16 here and a quarter final at the U.S.
Open. The man with the biggest forehand in the game lost to Ferrer last week
in Auckland and notably withdrew from the doubles citing a right knee
injury, so may be some risk here. The Frenchman is only playing his 2nd
Grand Slam match and is coming from challenger level so he's hard to
recommend.
Jaymon Crabb1.60 AUS vs. Andrew Ilie
AUS
- Crabb
has impressed in the lead-up with a tight loss to Gasquet in Adel qualies
followed by wins over Beck, Portas, Squillari in Sydney before taking a set
off Ferrero in the main draw. Ilie on the other hand failed to qualify and
had a well documented disastrous year in '02 when failing to win a match on
the ATP Tour.
Dominik Hrbaty 2.10 SVK vs. Xavier
Malisse BEL (20)
- Malisse
is under somewhat of an injury cloud coming into this with dodgy appendages
such as leg, calf, chest and elbow mentioned in one place or another. Hrbaty
has been backed from 7/4 into evens with some shops, so there must be
something there, but that's not quite enough for me. Malisse's record in
Grand Slams is excellent and while Hrbaty has form from Auckland, there's
too much uncertainty.
Stefan Koubek 1.55 AUT (32) vs.
Andreas Vinciguerra SWE
-
The Swede has a respectable 6-3 record here and having come through qualies
will be match fit and well acclimatised. He'll have an army of Swedish
support to help him get home, but Koubek is on a 7-1 run this year including
a win over Vinciguerra on the way to the Doha title.
Lars Burgsmuller 1.67 GER vs. Juan
Balcells ESP
- Balcells
is on an 0-5 Grand Slam run and is 0-2 here, lost to Okun in Chennai and
Vacek in Sydney qualifying - hardly enough to get me excited about this
encounter, but he did take Grosjean to four here last year and did reach the
Scottsdale final. Burgsmuller has losses to Mamiit and Henry as a lead-up
and is on an 0-6 Grand Slam run himself, but deserves to start a solid fave.
Flavio Saretta BRA vs.
Roger Federer 1.20 SUI (6)
-
The Swiss star talked about a groin strain to explain his loss to Squillari
in Sydney and has been posted at as much as 1/5 here. Saretta warmed up for
this with a Challenger win in Brazil, but Federer has an good record here
and if fit should win this with ease.
The Swede is a former finalist here but has
had a dreadful lead-up after returning from injury with 1st round losses in
Adelaide and Sydney and some less than impressive play at Kooyong. Gaudio
had a win over the Aussie youngster Reid last week in Sydney then blowing a
5-4, 40-15 1st set lead against Schuettler shortly before 'tanking' the
second set. I'm hoping a little more importance will be placed upon a Grand
Slam match.
Another comeback from injury for the 'Pou'
but there is no talk of winning Wimbledon this year. While he did win one
match to German qualifier Kohlmann in Chennai, he was thrashed by Schuettler
and disappointing in the Kooyong lead-up. Verkerk is an up and comer with a
huge serve himself and with tight losses to Zabaleta and Kuerten in the last
two weeks, his form is more than creditable. The Dutchman is playing only
his second Grand Slam match but I don't think he is the type to get overawed
by the prime-time opening night atmosphere that this clash will produce.
The Dutchman has a dreadful 2-7 record at
Melbourne Park and is returning after a break since the TMS Paris in late
October (he withdrew from Chennai citing a wrist injury). The fact that he has played
no lead-up events is a concern. Brasington finaled at a US challenger (hard) late last year and has the
advantage of having three matches here under his belt here already.
Alex Waske's hard work paid off with a
marathon final round qualifying win on Saturday. Prior losses to Zabaleta
and Luczak in the last two weeks were no disgrace. The big serving 18 year-old Ancic burst onto the scene with the massive upset of Federer at last year's
Wimbledon. He finished last year with two indoor carpet challenger wins. He
leads the h-h 2-0, but I'm tipping his inexperience in these conditions to
prove his downfall today.
I'm led to believe Savolt is a under a
slight injury cloud (elbow?) and losses to Alex Kim (Adel) and Portas (Syd
Quallies) does not read well. Local boy Luczak might have gained entry into
his first Grand Slam main draw via a wildcard, but I can tell you his form
has been quite solid. He qualified for Sydney with wins over Labadze, Waske
and Pless and gave Nieminen a fright in the main draw after a less than
ideal preparation.
The German won through qualies to get into his
first Australian Open. A tight match against Giovanni Lapentti was backed up
with a defeat of the higher ranked Carraz. Santoro started the year in Doha
with wins over Mantilla (semi Auck) and Christophe Rochus and a three set
loss to El Aynaoui. Experience counts for something but the Frenchman is not
getting any younger and in the stifling conditions expected Monday, I'm
going with the more match fit and acclimatised Phau.
The Aussie is a disappointing 2-4 at his home
Grand Slam and while he has been declared fit after sustaining a calf strain
a few weeks ago, he will surely suffer from a lack of match practice should
this one go the distance. I must say I don't know a lot about the Brazilian,
apart from a impressive final round qualifying win over Economidis - his 3rd
straight set win - that got him into his first Grand Slam main draw. The
Arthurs serve might be enough to get him home but this is over the odds.
After four consecutive 1st round losses in
Melbourne (Rusedski x2, Rafter and Ferrero) this is the one Draper can win.
He is playing some solid tennis despite opening the season with two first
round losses. He faced a serving onslaught twice against Krajicek and
Srichaphan and battled on gamely in both. Kim has the memory of beating
Kafelnikov here last year but has losses to Voinea and Fish in his two
starts while his wins over Savolt and Calatrava don't get me excited.
These two meet for the tenth time, but it's
Zabaleta who holds the 2-0 advantage on hardcourts. The Argentinean has form
- he is coming off a semi final loss to Kuerten in Auckland and a quarter
final loss to eventual winner Davydenko in Adelaide. He has been working
hard for over a month with a new coach and is clearly very motivated to
perform well at the moment. Mantilla, who has lost in the first round in his
last five appearances, lost to Santoro in Doha but had a tight win over
Novak to reach the Auckland semi before a heavy loss to Hrbaty.
Davydenko started the year very impressively
with a title win in Adelaide. A loss to Squillari last week in Sydney gives
him time to prepare for this and he has been seen partaking in vigorous
practice sessions with Max Mirnyi. Nieminen took a set off Safin last week
in Sydney but was very fortunate to make it past Luczak in the previous
round. He has not done enough on this surface for my liking.
You have to go back 17 Slams to the '98
Wimbledon since Kafelnikov has gone out in the 1st round, but such has been
his decline in form and match fitness that a loss here is a distinct
possibility. A 2 & 5 loss to Vicente in his only lead-up match when
collecting appearance money in Doha and the fact that he was originally not
coming to Melbourne has some questioning his motivation here. Morrison is
making his Aussie Open singles debut but played very well this time last
year and should have the edge in the extreme conditions late in the day on
Court Three.
Lisnard had a decent record in challengers
last year, albeit mostly on the dirt, but started this year well in Chennai
with wins over Pless, Okun and Schuettler. That's enough for me up against
the veteran Italian who struggles to find a weapon on this surface.
Kristian Pless to bt David Sanchez (1.57)
The Spaniard is 0-7 in Grand Slams excluding
the French and is yet to prove himself capable off the dirt. He took a set
off Youzhny and Coria in two 1st round losses this year but this looks
tough. Pless made the 3rd round here last year with wins over Mirnyi and
Arazi. He has losses to Lisnard and Luczak in the past two weeks but this
should be easier.
Sebastien Grosjean to bt Fernando Meligeni
(1.18)
Melgieni is 1-7 at the Aussie Open and didn't
feel it necessary to leave home to play a lead-up event, instead preferring
a challenger tourney in his native Brazil. Still the 1st round cheque in a
Grand Slam is nothing to sneeze at! Grosjean, a semi finalist here two years
ago, had a solid workout at the Kooyong event so this should be comfortable.
Guillermo Coriato bt Francisco Clavet
(1.24)
The veteran Spaniard keeps on going but has
notably decided not to play a lead-up tourney this year. The talented Coria
is a mere 14 years his junior and will have more run and stamina in the
predicted extreme conditions on Monday.
OTHER
1st ROUND MATCHES FOR MONDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Carlos Moya 1.10 ESP (5) vs. Dick Norman BEL
- Certainly not the easiest match-up here for
the Spaniard. The lefty Dick Norman won four challengers last year and leapt
up the Champions Race and has been seen working hard on his game in
Melbourne. Both
lost to Mardy Fish in three sets last week in Sydney. Not at this price.
Joachim Johansson SWE vs. Mardy Fish 1.36
USA
- The big serving Swede is making his Grand
Slam debut after a solid qualifying win over Andrei Stoliarov. He has
impressed in stages when failing to qualify in Adelaide and Auckland so must
be rated some chance but I have noticed he can become a little tentative
when things become tight. Fish won five matches after qualifying in Sydney
so he has had a nice tune up himself.
Davide Sanguinetti ITA vs. Michel
Kratochvil 1.83 SUI
- History shows that Rebound Ace is not the
Italian's favourite surface. He finished '02 in horror fashion after winning
three tourney's early including Delray Beach. He has a best 2nd round in
five appearances in Melbourne and lost to Sluiter 3 & 3 in his only lead-up
match in Auckland. Kratochvil is 3-2 from two appearances here and defeated
his opponent 2 & 0 in their only meeting ('01 on hard).
Wayne Ferreira 1.73 RSA vs. Tommy Robredo
ESP (26)
- The South African has an amazing record
here, never losing a first round encounter in 12 starts as well as reaching
a quarter and semi. He had a nice preparation in Sydney, losing to eventual
winner Lee in the semis and defeated Robredo in straight sets in the last US
Open. The Spaniard played better than the 2 & 2 scoreline vs Roddick
suggests in
Sydney last week, but looks a little inexperienced for the veteran.
Agustin Calleri 1.75 ARG vs. Sargis Sargsian
ARM
- Sargsian looks to have fully recovered from
a brief injury layoff last year and notched up wins over Varlet and Montanes
in Chennai before going out 4 & 4 to winner Srichaphan. Calleri looks to
have the class and took out some very big names late last year, but has been
a major disappointment in the Slams, losing in the 1st round the last six
starts. He must be favoured to break the duck today however.
Jurgen Melzer AUT vs. Paradorn Srichaphan
1.12
THA (11)
- Melzer had some solid results indoors last
year, but has shown little with losses to Martin and Carraz to suggest that he has
adapted to conditions down under. The Thai sensation has come up very short
but should progress with relative ease.
Renzo Furlan ITA vs. Andrei Pavel 1.28 ROM (21)
- Pavel went down to the in-from Behrend in
Chennai then was forced to withdraw from Kooyong with a back complaint. The
veteran Italian Furlan has qualified to play his first Grand Slam main draw
since 1998. He hasn't won a match on hardcourts at ATP level for two years,
but there is too much uncertainty here with Pavel.
Franco Squillari ARG vs. Juan Carlos Ferrero
1.25
ESP (4)
- The heavy hitting Argentinean comes into
this with some decent hardcourt form. He defeated Ferreira in Adelaide, and
Federer and Davydenko in Sydney as a lucky loser. It must be said that all
three opponents had their excuses. Ferrero is coming off a disappointing
final loss to Lee in Sydney but showed more than enough to suggest he's
ready to go early on this year.
Albert Costa 1.28 ESP (8) vs. David Prinosil GER
- The French Open champ should have enough
here. He had a win over Gaudenzi in Doha and a loss to Chela in Sydney after
a very tight first set, but did play well here last year with a marathon 4th
round loss to Ferreira. The German Prinosil qualified with three tight wins
and has been to the 3rd round here twice, but this looks beyond him.
Michael Llodra FRA vs. Jan-Michael Gambill
1.36 USA
(27)
- The hard working Yank inexplicably has an
appalling 0-5 record in Melbourne. He has started the year off well by
reaching the final of Doha with wins over Federer and Youzhny and only
suffered a very narrow loss to Hrbaty last week in Auckland. Llodra is no
stranger to the rebound ace and does represent a danger, but Gambill looks
in peak fitness this time.
Nicolas Lapentti 1.28 ECU (24) vs. Julien Benneteau
FRA
- The young Frenchman makes his Aussie Open
debut after three solid qualifying wins and a respectable qualifying loss to
Tursunov in Adelaide. Grand Slam inexperience may prove his downfall today,
up against a past semi finalist here in Lapentti. The Ecuadorian will have
to put a horror 2 & 0 loss to H-T Lee in Sydney in the back of the mind, but
has looked solid in practice here.
Jan Vacek 3.20 CZE vs. Karol Kucera SVK
- Kucera is a past semi-finalist here and has
had an excellent start to the season with wins over Canas and Chela on the
way to loss to Srichaphan in the Chennai final but he has come up very short
today. Vacek came very close to defeating Lee last week in Sydney qualifying
and does hold the 1-0 head-to-head advantage.
Guillermo Canas 1.33 ARG (14) vs. Vladimir
Voltchkov BLR
- Slight concern over the Argentinean's
fitness after he was forced to withdraw from Sydney last week. He looked to
be going full pace here in practice but was seen flexing the wrist on
occasion. Is a proven performer off the dirt, so if he's fully fit he can go
a long way, but there is too much uncertainty for mine.
Nicolas Escude 1.16 FRA (29) vs. Gouichi Motomura
JPN
- Escude is a past semi finalist here and
despite having a loss to Koubek in Doha as his only lead-up match should
have far too much for ordinary Japanese wildcard.
Christophe Rochus 1.75 BEL vs. Irakli Labadze GEO
- From what I've seen of Irakli Labadze, he
has the talent but suffers from all too frequent mental lapses. He faces a
mentally tough opponent today in a match fit Christophe Rochus. Rochus made
the 4th round here in '00 and has had a nice tune-up through qualifying here
and in Doha before going on to suffer a tight second round loss to Santoro.
David Ferrer 2.25 ESP vs. Hyung-Taik Lee KOR
- The young Spaniard making his Grand Slam
debut comes highly rated and must be given a huge chance to upset Sydney
winner Lee. Ferrer had wins over Alberto Martin and Gonzalez in Auckland
last week as well as a win over Sluiter in Doha. H-T meanwhile played seven
matches in Sydney and a let down here is well and truly on the cards. He has
the edge in experience but the conditions might just suit the Spaniard.
Brian Vahaly USA vs. Andre Agassi 1.08 USA (2)
- Vahaly made a huge jump up the rankings in
'02 with an excellent challenger record, but it's hard to see him troubling
Agassi here in his Aussie Open debut. Agassi won the Kooyong warm-up on
Saturday, just as he did in '00 and '01 when he came away with the title in
Melbourne.
RECORD
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here to view our
full record dating back to October '01.
2010 BRITISH OPEN
Tiger Woods 4.50
Lee Westwood 13.00
Phil Mickelson 15.00
P Harrington 17.00
Rory Mcilroy 17.00
Ernie Els 21.00
Ian Poulter 31.00
Adam Scott 34.00
Anthony Kim 34.00
Paul Casey 34.00
Martin Kaymer 34.00
Sergio Garcia 41.00
Jim Furyk 41.00
Geoff Ogilvy 41.00
Luke Donald 41.00
Retief Goosen 41.00
Hunter Mahan 41.00
Steve Stricker 41.00
Ross Fisher 41.00
G Mcdowell 41.00