A-LEAGUE WEEK 16
MELBOURNE CITY V CENTRAL COAST
Things aren't going too well for City at the moment, losing a must win match to bottom placed Adelaide after taking the lead within four minutes is unforgivable. They were the better team for two thirds of the match but as the game went longer and the scores still were level, Adelaide looked more likely to snatch something out of the match and they did just that.
Confidence is continually dropping in Melbourne City at the moment, especially when the likes of Sydney FC and bitter rivals Melbourne Victory are marching on at the top whilst City have now found themselves closer to the rest of mid placed teams.
This match is a bit of a final straw for Melbourne. If they can't win this one and win this one comfortably, then I can't see how they can pose a threat to the higher placed teams. I still think they are a far superior side and I do expect a win here.
Melb City by exactly 2 goals2 at 4.20-2
SYDNEY FC V ADELAIDE
A point was probably the fair result from one of the most boring and dull derby's that I've seen for some time. For all the hype and build up, the match delivered very little highlights and was quite a let down, however, they can't all be classics now can they.
Sydney will be very cautious when preparing and addressing this fixture, especially after seeing how Adelaide showed some actual passion and fight for once this season. Adelaide by no means are a bet here but they aren't going to be the same Adelaide that has been showing up this year.
Sydney welcome new signing Jordy Buijs into their starting lineup and he'll slot right into that centre half position straight away.
They've been hard to break down in recent times and I can see the game being quite low scoring even though history would suggest otherwise. We'll have a small play on the unders and see if we can find some value at the same time.
WELLINGTON PHOENIX V BRISBANE ROAR
Wellington had a fantastic week last week when recording two victories in a short space of time. They played average but still managed to get the three points against Central Coast however they were a different team against the Victory where they managed to put three past them and not concede at all. A stellar week for the new management down south.
They now host a Brisbane Roar side that are winless in four games and have lost their last three games in a row, which doesn't read too well when you have to travel all the way to New Zealand to face a team who are growing in confidence and getting results on the pitch.
The Roar haven't had much success in New Zealand and are winless since 2013 and I think that trend will continue here. I think the draw seems a fair result as the Phoenix will fancy themselves to get something out of the match and I doubt that Brisbane will come out expecting the three points and therefore they'll play a lot more cautiously.
PERTH GLORY V MELBOURNE VICTORY
Perth have been up and down in recent weeks with mixed results plaguing their current season. This is reflected in their current season as they sit smack bang in the middle of the ladder and don't ever seem to go up or down. They will no doubt make the finals but whether or not they are going to pose a serious threat is another issue altogether.
Perth will host a Victory side who lost their first match in a significant period of time against Wellington on the weekend. There's a few excuses that can be made for Melbourne as they had to play a tough game against Brisbane Roar and then travel to New Zealand to play the catch up game from earlier in the season. Although if that's the train of thought then Wellington had even less time to prepare as they played Central coast a day after Melbourne's first game, albeit they didn't have the travel factor.
I quite like the overs in this match. Picking the winner seems a task as I can make a strong case for both teams with a slight lean towards Melbourne Victory, but the fact Glory are at home brings this right back in their favour.
WESTERN SYDNEY V NEWCASTLE JETS
The last match of the round falls in Western Sydney when the Wanderers host the Jets. The Jets are having a very bizarre season and if you've been a fan for a while, you'd probably be feeling a lot more excited about their matches as opposed to the garbage they've been producing for a number of years now.
Andrew Nabbout has been an exquisite acquisition for the Jets and although they aren't pushing for a top 4 spot, they are definitely looking likely to press for a finals berth all season. They did go down early to glory last week but managed to have the lead before half time which once again reinforces that idea that the Jets are a team who will continue to grind away rather than lay down.
Western Sydney themselves seem to have solidified since the departure of a few bad apples and without the distraction that those few pose, a bit of consistency can be installed. The performance in the Sydney derby wasn't their best football of the year but they still managed to keep Sydney FC scoreless which is quite a feat this year.
Hard match to end the week with but Jets are a fantastic price considering Western Sydney's overall season and we'll have a little nibble on them
WEEK RESULTS STAKES ROI Week Twenty +2.24 16 14% Week Nineteen +20 11 182% Week Eighteen +12.16 11 111% Week Seventeen -5.88 15 -39% Week Sixteen -2.5 11 -23% Week Fifteen -15 15 -100% Week Fourteen +0.93 17 4% Week Thirteen +5.5 13 42% Week Twelve +3.05 18 17% Week Eleven -7.18 13 -55% Week Ten -2.07 18 -12% Week Nine +0.51 15 3% Week Eight -20 20 -100% Week Seven -3.22 16 -20% Week Six +10.2 14 73% Week Five -16 16 -100% Week Four -0.27 15 -2% Week Three -4.6 13 -35% Week Two -0.70 12 -6% Week One +1.05 12 9% Total -21.78 291 -7%