Week Fourteen A-League

A-LEAGUE WEEK 14

PERTH GLORY V WELLINGTON PHOENIX

Most of the attention for the kick off this round will be on Shane Smeltz and his return to the A-league. Signing with the Wellington Phoenix until the end of the season, he'll be expected to instantly link up with Krishna up front and hopefully put them back into finals contentions.

These teams struggle to put too many goals in the net whenever they meet and in the last eight league games, there hasn't been more than three goals scored in any of the matches. Perth are winless since they got the three points against bottom placed Adelaide back in round 7. They have since been on a dangerous slide and consistently are finding themselves conceding goals and drawing matches.

Wellington have picked themselves up in the last month and are undefeated in their last four matches, registering three draws and a home win against the Central Coast. The travel though is going to be a worry as they have a significant amount of kilometres to cover to play this one.

Tricky match but we'll go for a play based on that goalscoring history between the teams

OTP Recommendation

Draw & Under 3.5 goals2 at 6.00Bookie Image 1-2

otp odds

MELBOURNE CITY V WESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS

Melbourne City are in a real slump at the moment and they haven't recorded a win since claiming the scalp of Wellington back in round eight.. They've since lost one and drawn their last five games and haven't looked this shaky since they were known as Melbourne Heart. Cahill and Fornaroli have continued their good run and have found themselves on the scoresheet constantly but the rest of the squad have definitely dropped their form. They'll be chuffed to verse Western Sydney at home and I think they'll get the much belated win here.

Western Sydney themselves aren't exactly doing anything else special at the moment although their only two wins this year have come in away fixtures so that's definitely a positive when comparing the current squads. They'll also hopefully be able to concentrate on the squad harmony now that a few bad apples have moved on. The keeper swap between Sydney FC is one of the more bizarre deals that have been done in recent years, however I think the Wanderers have gotten the better end of the trade as Redmayne looks more of a liability than Janjetovic.

As mentioned, I'm very confident Melbourne City will break their winning drought here and even with the surprise departure of City coach John van't Schip, they'll be too good for WSW.

OTP Recommendation

Melbourne City to Win5 at 1.85Bookie Image 2+4.25

otp odds

BRISBANE ROAR V NEWCASTLE JETS

Brisbane will get their chance to bounce back here when they host the sporadically performing Newcastle Jets. The Roar are undefeated against the Jets in the past 14 meetings played at Suncorp, which is an incredible stat. The performance against Sydney FC wasn't fantastic but with the current form Sydney are in, there wasn't much else they could do, Sydney at the moment are just far too good.

Newcastle put four past the Roar earlier in the season but the chances of that score line being recreated are very slim. The Roar have since solidified their midfield and the performances of Thomas Kristensen have certainly inspired the rest of the squad to become more attack minded. Before losing to Sydney last week, Brisbane's last loss was at the hands of Newcastle which was all the way back in round 2 so they've certainly picked up their game since then

I like Roar to bounce back from the defeat and claim the three points here.

OTP Recommendation

Brisbane HT/FT3 at 2.38Bookie Image 3-3

otp odds

ADELAIDE UNITED V MELBOURNE VICTORY

Poor old Adelaide United still sit bottom of the league with one solitary win whereas the Melbourne Victory are flying high with Sydney FC and will no doubt be in the finals. Victory once again managed an impressive home win against the Jets last week and Berisha did the job once again, getting his name on the scoresheet first which sparked another three goals from the Melbourne side. Adelaide travelled to NZ to record a goalless stalemate, however I think they will be pleased to even get a point.

Historically speaking this game would bring a close match with chances aplenty for both sides, but looking at the form of both teams, there once again seems like only one straight forward result. Adelaide just can't be backed with any confidence at the moment whereas Victory are very rarely letting us down.

If Berisha can continue to do what he does best and that'score goals, then Adelaide will have no response.

I don't mind having a chance to more than double your money for a Victory win here and even though they are away, they should still be far too good

OTP Recommendation

Melbourne Victory to Win4 at 2.17Bookie Image 4+4.68

otp odds

CENTRAL COAST V SYDNEY FC

A real tough ask for the start of the year for the Central Coast here. They host the undefeated league leaders who also happen to be one of their man rivals in Sydney FC. There isn't much more we can say about Sydney FC and their superiority at the moment, they are simply far too good for the rest of their challengers

Alex Brosque has rediscovered some of his goalscoring form in recent weeks and found the net again last week, unfortunately he also lost his mind for a moment and found himself having an early bath when sent off for lashing out at Luke DeVere in the second half. He'll miss this match but Sydney FC have an extremely lovely amount of backup players who will be more than willing and capable to step up in his absence.

I can't say much for Central Coast, they aren't up to the standards that this Sydney team are displaying and i expect a whitewash from Sydney again.

We'll hope that Sydney can dominate from start to finish and that's what this play is based off.

OTP Recommendation

Sydney to win both halves3 at 3.00Bookie Image 5-3

otp odds

  • WEEKRESULTSSTAKESROI
    Week Twenty-Four -2.5 14 -18%
    Week Twenty-Three +15.83 19 83%
    Week Twenty-Two -11.25 18 -63%
    Week Twenty-One -1.79 16 -11%
    Week Twenty +2.24 16 14%
    Week Nineteen +20 11 182%
    Week Eighteen +12.16 11 111%
    Week Seventeen -5.88 15 -39%
    Week Sixteen -2.5 11 -23%
    Week Fifteen -15 15 -100%
    Week Fourteen +0.93 17 4%
    Week Thirteen +5.5 13 42%
    Week Twelve +3.05 18 17%
    Week Eleven -7.18 13 -55%
    Week Ten -2.07 18 -12%
    Week Nine +0.51 15 3%
    Week Eight -20 20 -100%
    Week Seven -3.22 16 -20%
    Week Six +10.2 14 73%
    Week Five -16 16 -100%
    Week Four -0.27 15 -2%
    Week Three -4.6 13 -35%
    Week Two -0.70 12 -6%
    Week One +1.05 12 9%
    Total -21.49 358 -6%

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