A-LEAGUE WEEK 13
SYDNEY FC V BRISBANE ROAR
The march continued for Sydney with a dominant and clinical display against Adelaide where they recorded a 4-0 win, whereas Brisbane failed to capitalise on the many opportunities they had to put the game to bed and they eventually let Western Sydney back in the match. With the Christmas period underway, Sydney will be looking to maintain this undefeated streak at all costs and I can't see the indecisive Roar posing much of a threat
Roar are undefeated against Sydney in the league in the past four matches and generally are a thorn in Sydney's side. This season has been different however and now that Roar are in a scoring slump and Sydney are in a golden wave of form, this should be another Sydney win.
CENTRAL COAST V MELBOURNE CITY
Victory put four past Central Coast last week and it'll be another gap job here with the other Melbourne team now coming to town. The Mariners history against City is actually quite reasonable but the recent hisotry speaks volumes. They have conceded twelve goals in their past three matches while only managing to get three goals in return. The last time they met in Gosford, City put 5 past them thanks to a brace from Harry Novillo.
City will look back on the draw against Perth and wonder how they didn't manage to close out the game. Missing two penalties in the one match is quite astonishing and had he missed the third, Fornaroli would've joined an unfortunate club that boasts the likes of Martin Palermo, who infamously missed three penalties against Colombia in 1999. It's very rare that Fornaroli is off target and this match is the perfect match to bounce back with
We'll go for a play based off Fornaroli.
Fornaroli to score/City to Win3 at 2.20-3
WELLINGTON PHOENIX V ADELAIDE UNITED
Wellington are showing more fight and potential without a manager than they did when they had one and it's a perfect time for them to host a side who must have zero morale left in the dressing room. There's no shame in getting beaten by an in form team but getting completely outplayed and conceding four goals is not only demoralising, it's just poor football and Adelaide are certainly no chance of making the six now.
The historical stats are once again on Adelaide's side with them recording wins at their last three meetings although things are quite different with both squads now. Wellington are managerless but are producing some of their better football, Adelaide have a manager but perhaps maybe shouldn't.
I think the price of Wellington is far too short for this match but we'll have a play again on that man Krishna. He's scoring goals and it's just a matter of time before he bags that first goal for us.
WESTERN SYDNEY V PERTH GLORY
An intersting fixture in NSW with the consistently inconsistent WSW hosting the Glory. Western Sydney are a team who loves to draw, with 7 of their 12 fixtures this year ending in points shared. They are still eligible to be placed in finals contentions but they need to start turning their draws into wins if they want to get there.
The last six encounters that have been played in NSW will be a psychological boost as they have won five of the previous six attempts, keeping three clean sheets in the process. The Glory can't stop conceding goals at the moment, adding another three with the potential game of the year last week against City, they have now conceded 26 goals and that is equal with what Central Coast have recorded.
I like the price of the Glory here but their ability to concede goals is more than off putting. We'll look for something a bit outside the box here as both teams are capable of anything here.
MELBOURNE VICTORY V NEWCASTLE JETS
Victory showed their dominance last week and they continue to look like the only team who might be capable of running down Sydney FC. Rojas has been a truly decent acquisition and he added another two goals to his tally in a complete performance against the Mariners. Working alongside the enigmatic Berisha has galvanised Melbourne's front line and they really look likely to outscore any opponent at any ground.
The Jets showed commitment and some heart to fight back twice when going down to Wellington Phoenix last week and those two men Hoole and Nabbout seem to be the driving force behind Jets' gameplay. Hoole is a fantastic young player and if he refines his decision making and tweaks his game ever so slightly, he'll be destined for things much bigger than the A-league.
Unfortunately this result seems straightforward and we are destined to see Victory take another three points at home. Berisha has scored in four of his last five home games for Melbourne and that trend will continue.
Berisha to score/Victory to Win4 at 2.60+6.4
WEEK RESULTS STAKES ROI Week Twenty-Four -2.5 14 -18% Week Twenty-Three +15.83 19 83% Week Twenty-Two -11.25 18 -63% Week Twenty-One -1.79 16 -11% Week Twenty +2.24 16 14% Week Nineteen +20 11 182% Week Eighteen +12.16 11 111% Week Seventeen -5.88 15 -39% Week Sixteen -2.5 11 -23% Week Fifteen -15 15 -100% Week Fourteen +0.93 17 4% Week Thirteen +5.5 13 42% Week Twelve +3.05 18 17% Week Eleven -7.18 13 -55% Week Ten -2.07 18 -12% Week Nine +0.51 15 3% Week Eight -20 20 -100% Week Seven -3.22 16 -20% Week Six +10.2 14 73% Week Five -16 16 -100% Week Four -0.27 15 -2% Week Three -4.6 13 -35% Week Two -0.70 12 -6% Week One +1.05 12 9% Total -21.49 358 -6%