GERARD DAFFY'S UBET NEWS – WEDNESDAY 16TH FEBRUARY
The World Club Series matches will be played in England this weekend and the 2 Australian sides are red hot favourites. The Brisbane Broncos are $1.16 (or -13.5) to beat Warrington on Sunday morning our time, and on Monday Cronulla are $1.30 to beat Wigan ($3.50) although there has been early money for Wigan to win that one. On Sunday evening Souths will do battle with the Dragons in their annual match at ANZ and the Rabbitohs have opened at $1.53 with the Dragons at $2.50. The early push has been for Souths.
UBET this week also opened up the 2017 Intrust Super Cup Premiership market. Many thought that Redcliffe were unlucky not to win last year’s title but that honour went to the Burleigh Bears. We have installed The Dolphins as the $4.50 favourites ahead of Townsville at $5.50 and then follows Burleigh and the Sunshine Coast at $8. It looks like the competition has a readymade drawcard as it is expected that Benji Marshall will play some football at Redcliffe if not included in the Brisbane Broncos team.
Australia and Sri Lanka will face off in a best of three T20 series beginning this Friday at the MCG. The second match will also be played under lights in Geelong on Sunday night with the final match down to be played in Adelaide on February 22, also under lights.
We saw throughout the Big Bash how fortunes can fluctuate in the shortened form of the game, so perhaps the $3.70 for Sri Lanka on Friday looks good value, but punters disagree at this stage with more than 90% of the early money coming for Australia at $1.28.
The World Super Six in Perth is the co-sanctioned European Tour event this week and it will be interesting to see how the format is embraced. It used to be called the Perth International and has always attracted a decent field as shown by last year’s winner Louis Oosthuizen who is the $11 equal favourite this year with Alexander Noren. The early money has been with those two players along with Peter Uihlein at $23. Some of the markets on this event are a little different to normal with the Sunday being a match play format with the top 24 players, so it is important to note that some of the markets are specifically for the first 54 holes ONLY which are only for the stroke play.
The US Tour event is the Genesis Open (formerly Nissan Open) which will be played at the Riviera CC in Pacific Palisades, California. Jordan Spieth scored a runaway 4 shot victory at Pebble Beach last week and on face value looks value at $8.50 this week, but oddly punters prefer Dustin Johnson ($9.00), Hideki Matsuyama ($10) and Jason Day ($15). Aaron Baddeley won this event back in 2011 but he is well down the list at $151.
Hopefully the Brisbane Lions can get some inspiration from their women’s side as they have been really impressive in both of their wins in the Women’s AFL competition. They are now into $4 third favourites behind Adelaide ($2.75) and Carlton ($3.25) . The Lions play for the first time at home this week (Brendale, an outer Brisbane suburb) and are $1.40 to beat Collingwood.
While there continues to be a stack of interest in most of UBET’s ‘futures’ markets as the start of the season approaches, we have also opened up some markets on some of the other leagues. Launceston are $2.15 to win the TSL flag with a solid early move for Glenorchy ($5.50-$4.50), while Sturt have opened as the $4.50 favourites to win the SANFL and will be attempting back to back wins.
Tonight (Thursday) the JST Community Series (men’s pre-season competition) gets under way and we are all interested to see how Essendon come back from their dramas of the past couple of seasons. The Bombers are warm $1.45 favourites to beat Collingwood ($2.75), but most of the early money has been for the Magpies with 13.5 points start at $1.90.
The newly formed Super Netball League gets underway this weekend. For those who are not aware, this is the old ANZ Championship without the New Zealand sides, so eight teams only and a couple of new ones at that. One of those, Collingwood, has assembled a very good squad on paper and is the warm $2.25 favourite to lift the title at their debut. Another newcomer, the Sunshine Coast Lighting, are the second picks at $5. The Sunshine Coast line up against the Queensland Firebirds on Saturday evening where the Firebirds are the well backed $1.50 favourites.
The Brisbane 10s was played in oppressive conditions, but it was really busy from a betting perspective. UBET punters identified early on that the Kiwi sides were the teams to beat, and that is how it panned out with the Chiefs beating the Crusaders in the final.
The Super Rugby competition starts next Thursday, and in the first match there has been solid early support for the Blues ($1.62) to win at home against the Rebels.
In outright betting, the Lions from South Africa continue to firm, now $6 second fav’s behind the Hurricanes who are $5. The Blues have met with support at $17, and in the past week the Reds have been $29 into $21. They do have a better list this year, and there were some good signs in the 10s, but they need to improve a lot on what we have seen from them over the past couple of seasons.